Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.8%Penn State

95.2%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -20.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -1983

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 70

Projected Total159.5

Projected ScoreWisconsin 90

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricWisconsin

42.3MMH Power Index64.5

109.2Offensive Efficiency118.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency108.8

-8.4Net Efficiency9.8

5.3Strength of Schedule6.7

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

67.5Tempo69.9

53.4%Effective FG%54.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate12.8%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate32.5%

-5.7Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–42.3), offensive efficiency (118.6–109.2), defensive efficiency (108.8–117.6), net efficiency (9.8–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.6–32.5).

Final

Penn State

86—75

Wisconsin

Penn State by 11 • 73.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATWisconsin

31-55FG25-69

56.0%FG%36.0%

11-193PT10-31

58.0%3PT%32.0%

13-19FT15-17

68.0%FT%88.0%

36Rebounds35

4Offensive Rebounds12

21Assists11

13Turnovers9

5Steals7

7Blocks2

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	34	10-12	4-5	1-1	3	4	0	0	25
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	34	7-11	0-0	1-3	11	3	0	5	15
Zach Hicks	Forward	31	3-4	3-4	5-6	7	0	2	1	14
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	19	5-9	1-1	1-2	5	2	0	0	12
Freddie Dilione V	G	29	3-9	1-2	2-2	1	3	0	1	9
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	33	2-7	1-4	3-5	4	9	3	0	8
Dominick Stewart	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jahvin Carter	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kachi Nzeh	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Blackwell	G	34	6-15	3-6	4-4	5	3	2	0	19
Steve Crowl	Forward	31	8-15	2-4	1-1	4	3	1	0	19
John Tonje	Guard	33	2-13	2-7	7-8	7	2	0	0	13
Kamari McGee	Guard	26	4-11	2-5	1-2	3	0	1	1	11
Nolan Winter	F	13	3-4	1-1	0-0	6	0	0	1	7
Carter Gilmore	Forward	26	1-3	0-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Xavier Amos	F	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Jack Janicki	G	23	0-3	0-3	0-0	4	2	2	0	0
Camren Hunter	G	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.6Possessions73.6

116.8Offensive Efficiency101.9

101.9Defensive Efficiency116.8

14.9Net Efficiency-14.9

66.4%Effective FG%43.5%

67.2%True Shooting %48.7%

17.8%Turnover Rate12.1%

34.5%Free Throw Rate24.6%

34.5%3-Point Rate44.9%

1.62Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Penn State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 73.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.