Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.3%Cal State Fullerton

87.7%SMU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSMU -13.2

PROJECTED TOTAL168.8

MODEL MONEYLINESMU -713

SMU

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 78

Projected Total168.8

Projected ScoreSMU 91

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricSMU

49.4MMH Power Index62.5

108.8Offensive Efficiency118.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency109.6

1.7Net Efficiency8.6

-1.2Strength of Schedule7.0

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

76.3Tempo71.1

52.6%Effective FG%55.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.7%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate31.3%

1.3Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

SMU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSMU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.5–49.4), offensive efficiency (118.2–108.8), net efficiency (8.6–1.7), strength of schedule (7.0–-1.2).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.1–109.6), recent form (2.7–-1.3), ball security (15.1–15.7).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

63—110

SMU

SMU by 47 • 76.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATSMU

20-62FG41-77

32.0%FG%53.0%

8-323PT14-31

25.0%3PT%45.0%

15-22FT14-19

68.0%FT%74.0%

36Rebounds49

16Offensive Rebounds20

14Assists30

19Turnovers11

7Steals10

4Blocks7

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Ward	G	30	4-13	2-6	6-8	4	7	4	2	16
KJ Garris	G	21	4-7	3-3	2-4	4	0	0	0	13
Landon Seaman	F	20	4-8	1-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	9
Christian Williams	G	30	2-9	1-8	2-2	6	2	2	0	7
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	30	3-9	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	2	7
Bryce Cofield	G	27	2-10	0-2	3-6	7	2	1	0	7
Davis White	G	18	0-3	0-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Kendrick De Luna	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Ben Winker	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Matthew Quinlan	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
B.J. Edwards	G	28	8-10	3-5	2-3	11	10	5	0	21
Jermaine O'Neal Jr.	F	20	8-12	3-4	2-2	3	1	1	1	21
Corey Washington	F	18	5-9	3-4	2-2	3	0	0	0	15
Boopie Miller	G	30	4-10	2-5	4-4	1	12	0	0	14
Samet Yigitoglu	C	25	5-7	0-0	1-3	12	0	0	4	11
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	22	4-12	1-5	2-2	3	3	0	0	11
Jaden Toombs	C	18	4-8	0-2	1-1	1	2	2	2	9
Sam Walters	F	9	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
B.J. Davis-Ray	G	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Mitchell Holmes	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Chance Puryear	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nigel Walls	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Niccolo Kalischer-Stork	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Trey Utter	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.3Possessions76.3

82.6Offensive Efficiency144.2

144.2Defensive Efficiency82.6

-61.6Net Efficiency61.6

38.7%Effective FG%62.3%

43.5%True Shooting %63.9%

25.2%Turnover Rate14.3%

35.5%Free Throw Rate24.7%

51.6%3-Point Rate40.3%

0.74Assist / Turnover2.73

Game Summary

SMU won by 47 points. The game played at approximately 76.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.