Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%Gonzaga

46.9%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -113

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 74

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 73

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricSaint Mary's

76.4MMH Power Index70.7

119.7Offensive Efficiency116.7

94.0Defensive Efficiency97.4

25.7Net Efficiency19.3

3.0Strength of Schedule3.0

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

70.4Tempo66.3

55.7%Effective FG%53.1%

13.6%Turnover Rate16.6%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

31.5%Free Throw Rate36.8%

18.1Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–70.7), offensive efficiency (119.7–116.7), defensive efficiency (94.0–97.4), net efficiency (25.7–19.3).

Saint Mary's COUNTERS WITHrecent form (18.6–18.2), offensive rebounding (37.4–35.0), free throw rate (36.8–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

58—51

Saint Mary's

Gonzaga by 7 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATSaint Mary's

26-63FG20-52

41.0%FG%38.0%

1-153PTnull-16

7.0%3PT%0.0%

5-7FT11-15

71.0%FT%73.0%

28Rebounds43

10Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists12

4Turnovers18

12Steals3

2Blocks4

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Huff	F	32	8-16	1-4	1-1	4	2	2	1	18
Khalif Battle	Guard	30	6-14	0-4	2-3	2	3	5	0	14
Graham Ike	F	28	5-12	0-0	1-1	7	1	0	1	11
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	36	5-11	0-2	0-0	2	6	3	0	10
Nolan Hickman	Guard	31	1-6	0-3	1-2	0	1	1	0	3
Ben Gregg	Forward	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Michael Ajayi	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Dusty Stromer	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mitchell Saxen	Center	39	8-13	0-0	4-6	7	0	1	2	20
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	40	4-7	0-2	4-4	5	8	0	1	12
Luke Barrett	Forward	40	4-7	0-3	1-2	9	3	0	0	9
Harry Wessels	C	26	2-3	0-0	1-2	9	0	1	1	5
Mikey Lewis	G	20	2-10	0-7	1-1	1	1	1	0	5
Jordan Ross	G	21	0-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Paulius Murauskas	F	14	0-7	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

94.0Offensive Efficiency82.7

82.7Defensive Efficiency94.0

11.3Net Efficiency-11.3

42.1%Effective FG%38.5%

43.7%True Shooting %43.1%

6.6%Turnover Rate28.5%

11.1%Free Throw Rate28.8%

23.8%3-Point Rate30.8%

3.25Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.