Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.8%Cincinnati

89.2%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -826

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 65

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreIowa State 80

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricIowa State

61.5MMH Power Index75.9

105.3Offensive Efficiency119.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency96.0

8.0Net Efficiency23.3

5.1Strength of Schedule4.9

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

69.4Tempo68.4

50.6%Effective FG%56.1%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

30.7%Free Throw Rate35.2%

5.5Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–61.5), offensive efficiency (119.3–105.3), defensive efficiency (96.0–97.3), net efficiency (23.3–8.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–4.9).

Final

Cincinnati

56—76

Iowa State

Iowa State by 20 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATIowa State

19-58FG29-54

33.0%FG%54.0%

9-303PT10-21

30.0%3PT%48.0%

9-11FT8-10

82.0%FT%80.0%

23Rebounds41

10Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists14

11Turnovers17

10Steals5

4Blocks1

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jizzle James	G	29	6-20	3-9	2-2	3	2	1	1	17
Josh Reed	F	34	2-7	2-5	4-4	2	0	1	0	10
Day Day Thomas	G	32	4-13	1-7	0-0	1	4	4	0	9
Simas Lukosius	Guard	30	2-5	2-5	2-2	4	1	2	0	8
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	22	3-9	1-4	1-1	3	1	0	1	8
Dillon Mitchell	F	30	1-3	0-0	0-2	5	2	2	1	2
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	1	2
Tyler Betsey	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Jefferson	F	36	8-12	0-2	3-4	8	5	3	0	19
Tamin Lipsey	G	29	5-8	3-5	3-4	2	3	2	0	16
Milan Momcilovic	F	32	5-10	3-5	0-0	6	2	0	0	13
Dishon Jackson	C	25	4-6	0-0	2-2	15	1	0	1	10
Curtis Jones	Guard	28	3-10	2-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Nate Heise	G	24	2-2	1-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	5
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	14	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Cade Kelderman	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

86.8Offensive Efficiency117.8

117.8Defensive Efficiency86.8

-31.0Net Efficiency31.0

40.5%Effective FG%63.0%

44.3%True Shooting %64.7%

17.1%Turnover Rate26.3%

19.0%Free Throw Rate18.5%

51.7%3-Point Rate38.9%

1.09Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.