Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Baylor

78.2%Texas Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas Tech -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Tech -359

Texas Tech

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 75

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 84

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricTexas Tech

58.9MMH Power Index65.8

116.7Offensive Efficiency117.8

109.5Defensive Efficiency107.2

7.2Net Efficiency10.6

4.0Strength of Schedule9.4

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

69.7Tempo68.1

54.4%Effective FG%56.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.8%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate28.2%

5.1Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas Tech holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–58.9), offensive efficiency (117.8–116.7), defensive efficiency (107.2–109.5), net efficiency (10.6–7.2).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (37.5–32.6), free throw rate (34.8–28.2).

Final

Baylor

74—76

Texas Tech

Texas Tech by 2 • 60.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATTexas Tech

27-60FG25-64

45.0%FG%39.0%

4-163PT15-34

25.0%3PT%44.0%

16-19FT11-16

84.0%FT%69.0%

38Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds17

8Assists16

4Turnovers7

7Steals1

3Blocks4

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Norchad Omier	Forward	32	12-18	0-0	5-6	15	1	1	2	29
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	36	4-13	0-3	3-4	7	5	2	1	11
Jayden Nunn	Guard	31	3-8	2-6	2-2	5	0	1	0	10
Jeremy Roach	Guard	28	2-6	1-3	4-5	1	0	1	0	9
Robert Wright III	G	25	4-9	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	8
Jason Asemota	F	5	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Jalen Celestine	G	35	1-5	0-3	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
Marino Dubravcic	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Toppin	F	32	10-19	2-3	4-5	10	1	0	3	26
Darrion Williams	F	33	5-13	4-6	0-0	8	1	0	0	14
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	37	3-6	3-6	3-4	5	11	1	0	12
Kerwin Walton	Guard	23	4-9	4-9	0-1	3	0	0	1	12
Christian Anderson	G	29	2-5	2-5	0-2	2	1	0	0	6
Kevin Overton	G	24	0-7	0-2	4-4	6	0	0	0	4
Federiko Federiko	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Chance McMillian	Guard	13	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.8Possessions60.8

121.7Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency121.7

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

48.3%Effective FG%50.8%

53.6%True Shooting %53.1%

6.7%Turnover Rate11.4%

31.7%Free Throw Rate25.0%

26.7%3-Point Rate53.1%

2.00Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Texas Tech won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 60.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.