Stanford

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.0%Stanford

80.0%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.5

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -400

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStanford 72

Projected Total155.5

Projected ScoreLouisville 83

Team Comparison

StanfordMetricLouisville

59.2MMH Power Index67.1

111.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency102.2

4.5Net Efficiency16.4

5.2Strength of Schedule6.0

7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

68.1Tempo71.0

51.9%Effective FG%56.9%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.8%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

37.2%Free Throw Rate34.1%

3.0Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–59.2), offensive efficiency (118.6–111.6), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.1), net efficiency (16.4–4.5).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.4–1.4), ball security (15.5–16.8), offensive rebounding (32.4–32.3).

Final

Stanford

73—75

Louisville

Louisville by 2 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StanfordTEAM STATLouisville

26-56FG28-55

46.0%FG%51.0%

11-263PT8-23

42.0%3PT%35.0%

10-12FT11-18

83.0%FT%61.0%

28Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists13

10Turnovers11

8Steals2

6Blocks1

19Fouls11

Player Box Score

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Oziyah Sellers	G	37	7-12	4-6	4-4	4	3	3	0	22
Maxime Raynaud	Forward	23	7-16	2-5	1-3	5	2	0	2	17
Ryan Agarwal	G	35	3-7	3-5	2-2	5	3	0	0	11
Chisom Okpara	F	19	3-3	1-1	3-3	6	0	2	0	10
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	31	2-9	0-4	0-0	0	5	1	0	4
Aidan Cammann	F	21	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	3	4
Benny Gealer	G	14	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Jaylen Thompson	F	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Donavin Young	F	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	40	9-14	2-5	5-9	2	2	0	1	25
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	39	6-16	3-11	5-7	2	8	1	0	20
Noah Waterman	Forward	33	4-8	3-5	1-2	9	0	0	0	12
James Scott	F	30	6-8	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	0	12
J'Vonne Hadley	G	38	2-8	0-2	0-0	6	3	0	0	4
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Khani Rooths	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Frank Anselem-Ibe	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

112.8Offensive Efficiency115.9

115.9Defensive Efficiency112.8

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

56.3%Effective FG%58.2%

59.2%True Shooting %59.0%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

21.4%Free Throw Rate32.7%

46.4%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Louisville won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.