Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.9%Northwestern

82.1%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -459

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 72

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreWisconsin 83

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricWisconsin

55.4MMH Power Index64.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

109.8Defensive Efficiency108.8

1.8Net Efficiency9.8

5.6Strength of Schedule6.7

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

65.6Tempo69.9

51.9%Effective FG%54.6%

13.0%Turnover Rate12.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

34.8%Free Throw Rate32.5%

1.2Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–55.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–111.6), defensive efficiency (108.8–109.8), net efficiency (9.8–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.8–32.5).

Final

Northwestern

63—70

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 7 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATWisconsin

20-54FG22-53

37.0%FG%42.0%

5-203PT8-25

25.0%3PT%32.0%

18-22FT18-23

82.0%FT%78.0%

36Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists12

14Turnovers10

4Steals8

3Blocks1

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	39	7-14	0-2	8-11	7	1	0	0	22
K.J. Windham	G	29	5-9	2-5	2-2	2	5	1	0	14
Jordan Clayton	G	27	3-10	2-5	2-2	4	1	2	0	10
Ty Berry	Guard	25	2-8	0-3	5-5	6	0	0	0	9
Justin Mullins	G	28	2-8	1-4	1-2	4	1	0	2	6
Matthew Nicholson	Center	29	1-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	1	2
Angelo Ciaravino	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Luke Hunger	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Tonje	Guard	32	7-14	2-5	2-2	7	1	2	0	18
Nolan Winter	F	26	4-5	1-2	9-10	6	2	2	0	18
Max Klesmit	Guard	24	3-5	1-3	2-3	2	2	1	0	9
John Blackwell	G	27	3-10	1-6	1-1	4	1	0	0	8
Kamari McGee	Guard	19	3-7	2-4	0-1	3	1	1	0	8
Steve Crowl	Forward	30	2-7	1-2	2-2	7	3	0	1	7
Carter Gilmore	Forward	20	0-3	0-3	2-4	2	2	1	0	2
Jack Janicki	G	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Xavier Amos	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

95.9Offensive Efficiency106.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency95.9

-10.7Net Efficiency10.7

41.7%Effective FG%49.1%

48.9%True Shooting %54.8%

21.1%Turnover Rate15.4%

40.7%Free Throw Rate43.4%

37.0%3-Point Rate47.2%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.