Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.9%Mississippi State

87.1%Missouri

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri -13.3

PROJECTED TOTAL160.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri -675

Missouri

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 74

Projected Total160.9

Projected ScoreMissouri 87

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricMissouri

44.6MMH Power Index57.2

107.4Offensive Efficiency115.1

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.7

-5.8Net Efficiency5.4

5.0Strength of Schedule5.0

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

72.3Tempo68.8

51.6%Effective FG%55.2%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.8%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

30.9%Free Throw Rate43.1%

-4.2Average Margin3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.2–44.6), offensive efficiency (115.1–107.4), defensive efficiency (109.7–113.2), net efficiency (5.4–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–17.8).

Final

Mississippi State

73—85

Missouri

Missouri by 12 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATMissouri

24-66FG27-55

36.0%FG%49.0%

6-303PT8-24

20.0%3PT%33.0%

19-27FT23-28

70.0%FT%82.0%

35Rebounds43

14Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists14

8Turnovers14

11Steals4

3Blocks3

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	38	8-22	3-14	5-7	1	0	1	0	24
KeShawn Murphy	F	29	6-12	0-0	6-8	8	2	4	0	18
RJ Melendez	Forward	20	3-11	1-7	5-8	4	1	0	0	12
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	26	4-6	2-3	0-0	2	2	2	1	10
Cameron Matthews	Forward	36	2-2	0-0	0-1	5	3	1	0	4
Riley Kugel	G	31	0-7	0-3	3-3	4	4	3	1	3
Mike Nwoko	F	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Claudell Harris Jr.	Guard	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dellquan Warren	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tamar Bates	Guard	33	8-12	3-5	6-6	4	0	0	0	25
Tony Perkins	Guard	31	6-10	0-1	8-8	7	4	2	1	20
Trent Pierce	G	19	2-3	2-3	1-1	3	2	0	0	7
Mark Mitchell	G	12	3-4	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	7
Jacob Crews	G	22	2-8	2-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Anthony Robinson II	G	14	1-2	0-0	4-5	2	4	1	0	6
Caleb Grill	Guard	30	2-11	1-8	0-0	1	3	1	0	5
Marques Warrick	Guard	6	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Aidan Shaw	G	12	1-1	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	1	3
Josh Gray	Center	21	1-3	0-0	0-2	12	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

99.9Offensive Efficiency116.3

116.3Defensive Efficiency99.9

-16.4Net Efficiency16.4

40.9%Effective FG%56.4%

46.3%True Shooting %62.2%

11.0%Turnover Rate19.1%

40.9%Free Throw Rate50.9%

45.5%3-Point Rate43.6%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Missouri won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.