Iowa

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.2%Iowa

86.8%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -658

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa 67

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreIllinois 80

Team Comparison

IowaMetricIllinois

64.2MMH Power Index76.5

118.4Offensive Efficiency125.0

105.2Defensive Efficiency103.3

13.2Net Efficiency21.7

5.3Strength of Schedule6.7

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

63.0Tempo66.5

56.6%Effective FG%54.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.1%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

36.2%Free Throw Rate33.8%

8.3Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.4), defensive efficiency (103.3–105.2), net efficiency (21.7–13.2).

Iowa COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.6–54.8), free throw rate (36.2–33.8).

Final

Iowa

94—106

Illinois

Illinois by 12 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IowaTEAM STATIllinois

39-71FG35-65

55.0%FG%54.0%

11-243PT12-26

46.0%3PT%46.0%

5-10FT24-30

50.0%FT%80.0%

24Rebounds41

7Offensive Rebounds14

21Assists20

5Turnovers10

6Steals2

4Blocks1

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Payton Sandfort	Forward	35	11-20	8-13	0-0	2	4	2	1	30
Josh Dix	G	31	10-17	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	21
Drew Thelwell	Guard	31	5-9	1-4	1-5	3	6	1	0	12
Pryce Sandfort	F	27	4-7	1-2	2-3	4	1	0	0	11
Even Brauns	Forward	16	4-6	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	2	8
Ladji Dembele	F	23	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Brock Harding	G	18	2-6	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	4
Seydou Traore	F	15	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	3	0	0	2
Carter Kingsbury	G	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Riley Mulvey	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jacob Koch	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylan Boswell	G	37	10-14	4-7	0-2	3	7	1	0	24
Tre White	G	30	7-11	2-3	6-7	5	1	0	0	22
Will Riley	Forward	33	9-14	1-3	2-2	7	5	0	0	21
Tomislav Ivisic	C	28	5-9	3-5	6-7	10	6	0	1	19
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	28	1-6	1-4	7-8	3	0	1	0	10
Ben Humrichous	F	17	1-5	1-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	0	4
Jake Davis	F	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
AJ Redd	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keaton Kutcher	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

126.0Offensive Efficiency142.1

142.1Defensive Efficiency126.0

-16.1Net Efficiency16.1

62.7%Effective FG%63.1%

62.0%True Shooting %66.9%

6.8%Turnover Rate13.3%

14.1%Free Throw Rate46.2%

33.8%3-Point Rate40.0%

4.20Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Illinois won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.