North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.7%North Carolina

91.3%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -16.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -1049

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 67

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricDuke

65.2MMH Power Index81.7

115.5Offensive Efficiency122.2

103.8Defensive Efficiency95.2

11.7Net Efficiency27.0

7.6Strength of Schedule7.8

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

69.0Tempo66.8

54.6%Effective FG%56.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

38.1%Free Throw Rate39.0%

8.1Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–65.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.5), defensive efficiency (95.2–103.8), net efficiency (27.0–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHball security (13.9–15.9).

Final

North Carolina

71—74

Duke

Duke by 3 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATDuke

26-55FG27-55

47.0%FG%49.0%

3-173PT5-22

18.0%3PT%23.0%

16-24FT15-22

67.0%FT%68.0%

31Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists13

12Turnovers13

8Steals8

4Blocks3

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	34	8-11	0-2	4-5	10	2	0	1	20
Elliot Cadeau	G	27	4-8	3-3	4-6	3	5	2	1	15
Seth Trimble	G	30	4-7	0-1	6-9	4	2	3	0	14
Drake Powell	Guard	36	4-9	0-3	2-3	5	1	1	2	10
RJ Davis	Guard	38	4-10	0-3	0-1	2	2	1	0	8
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	20	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Jalen Washington	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ian Jackson	G	10	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kon Knueppel	Guard	38	5-11	3-5	4-5	4	3	1	0	17
Khaman Maluach	Center	23	6-8	1-2	0-1	9	0	0	2	13
Sion James	Guard	31	4-7	1-3	3-4	4	2	0	0	12
Patrick Ngongba II	C	17	6-6	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	12
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	34	4-11	0-5	3-5	3	1	2	0	11
Caleb Foster	G	16	2-6	0-2	2-2	3	1	2	0	6
Isaiah Evans	G	26	0-3	0-3	2-3	2	2	2	0	2
Mason Gillis	Forward	15	0-3	0-2	1-2	2	2	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

103.6Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency103.6

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

50.0%Effective FG%53.6%

53.5%True Shooting %56.5%

17.5%Turnover Rate19.0%

43.6%Free Throw Rate40.0%

30.9%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Duke won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.