Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.5%Oregon

94.5%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -19.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1718

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 64

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreMichigan State 83

Team Comparison

OregonMetricMichigan State

48.9MMH Power Index69.8

106.4Offensive Efficiency117.0

110.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

-4.3Net Efficiency15.5

6.0Strength of Schedule7.2

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

66.7Tempo67.3

49.9%Effective FG%54.1%

17.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

36.9%Free Throw Rate36.6%

-2.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–48.9), offensive efficiency (117.0–106.4), defensive efficiency (101.5–110.7), net efficiency (15.5–-4.3).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.9–36.6).

Final

Oregon

64—74

Michigan State

Michigan State by 10 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATMichigan State

25-53FG25-54

47.0%FG%46.0%

4-193PT7-15

21.0%3PT%47.0%

10-14FT17-29

71.0%FT%59.0%

29Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists13

15Turnovers12

4Steals7

2Blocks—

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Bittle	C	34	9-15	1-3	3-4	11	0	1	2	22
TJ Bamba	Guard	34	5-9	1-3	0-0	6	5	0	0	11
Jackson Shelstad	G	35	4-11	0-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	8
Keeshawn Barthelemy	Guard	29	2-8	2-6	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Brandon Angel	Forward	22	2-3	0-0	1-1	2	1	2	0	5
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	18	0-1	0-0	4-6	6	1	0	0	4
Jadrian Tracey	G	14	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	8	1-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Supreme Cook	Not Available	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jase Richardson	Guard	31	4-13	3-7	6-10	3	2	1	17
Jaden Akins	Guard	31	5-13	1-3	1-2	3	0	2	12
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	27	3-7	0-1	5-8	2	5	0	11
Coen Carr	F	25	3-5	1-1	3-5	8	0	2	10
Carson Cooper	C	20	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	6
Tre Holloman	G	17	2-4	0-1	2-2	3	4	1	6
Jaxon Kohler	F	26	2-2	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	5
Frankie Fidler	Forward	8	2-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	5
Szymon Zapala	Center	11	1-1	0-0	0-2	3	0	1	2
Xavier Booker	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

92.4Offensive Efficiency106.8

106.8Defensive Efficiency92.4

-14.4Net Efficiency14.4

50.9%Effective FG%52.8%

53.6%True Shooting %54.6%

21.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

26.4%Free Throw Rate53.7%

35.8%3-Point Rate27.8%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.