Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.6%Louisville

89.4%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -13.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -843

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 70

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricDuke

67.1MMH Power Index81.7

118.6Offensive Efficiency122.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

16.4Net Efficiency27.0

6.0Strength of Schedule7.8

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

71.0Tempo66.8

56.9%Effective FG%56.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.9%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

34.1%Free Throw Rate39.0%

11.7Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–67.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.6), defensive efficiency (95.2–102.2), net efficiency (27.0–16.4).

Final

Louisville

62—73

Duke

Duke by 11 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATDuke

25-64FG22-50

39.0%FG%44.0%

7-263PT10-27

27.0%3PT%37.0%

5-10FT19-24

50.0%FT%79.0%

38Rebounds35

16Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists11

11Turnovers10

3Steals6

2Blocks5

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	40	12-29	5-12	0-1	6	3	1	0	29
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	40	5-16	1-8	3-4	4	3	1	0	14
J'Vonne Hadley	G	38	2-5	0-2	2-4	5	1	1	1	6
James Scott	F	32	3-4	0-0	0-1	2	2	0	1	6
Noah Waterman	Forward	21	2-5	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Khani Rooths	F	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	37	6-14	6-14	1-5	1	2	1	0	19
Kon Knueppel	Guard	38	6-12	0-5	6-6	8	3	2	0	18
Sion James	Guard	33	3-7	2-2	7-7	6	2	0	0	15
Khaman Maluach	Center	27	4-5	0-0	0-0	10	0	0	2	8
Patrick Ngongba II	C	14	1-4	0-0	5-6	2	0	0	3	7
Isaiah Evans	G	18	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Mason Gillis	Forward	24	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Caleb Foster	G	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

97.5Offensive Efficiency114.8

114.8Defensive Efficiency97.5

-17.3Net Efficiency17.3

44.5%Effective FG%54.0%

45.1%True Shooting %59.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.8%

15.6%Free Throw Rate48.0%

40.6%3-Point Rate54.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Duke won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.