Tennessee

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.0%Tennessee

51.0%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -104

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee 79

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreAuburn 79

Team Comparison

TennesseeMetricAuburn

68.6MMH Power Index64.4

115.8Offensive Efficiency118.8

102.1Defensive Efficiency113.0

13.7Net Efficiency5.8

7.8Strength of Schedule7.5

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

68.1Tempo69.8

51.6%Effective FG%53.1%

17.3%Turnover Rate14.5%

44.5%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

38.6%Free Throw Rate43.8%

9.3Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.6–64.4), defensive efficiency (102.1–113.0), net efficiency (13.7–5.8), strength of schedule (7.8–7.5).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.8–115.8), recent form (8.0–3.3), shooting efficiency (53.1–51.6).

Final

Tennessee

70—65

Auburn

Tennessee by 5 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TennesseeTEAM STATAuburn

20-47FG23-55

43.0%FG%42.0%

5-193PT6-21

26.0%3PT%29.0%

25-27FT13-22

93.0%FT%59.0%

35Rebounds27

10Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists13

11Turnovers6

5Steals6

2Blocks3

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	35	5-11	1-6	9-9	4	4	1	1	20
Jordan Gainey	Guard	29	3-8	1-4	8-8	5	0	0	0	15
Chaz Lanier	Guard	33	5-13	2-6	0-0	4	1	0	1	12
Igor Milicic Jr.	Forward	16	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	23	0-1	0-0	6-8	2	2	2	0	6
Darlinstone Dubar	Guard	15	2-3	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Cade Phillips	F	18	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Felix Okpara	F	31	0-1	0-0	0-0	9	0	2	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johni Broome	Forward	35	9-13	0-0	5-12	7	1	2	0	23
Miles Kelly	Guard	25	5-11	3-8	0-0	2	2	2	0	13
Denver Jones	Guard	29	1-6	1-5	7-8	1	3	1	0	10
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	32	4-9	1-2	0-0	3	3	0	1	9
Dylan Cardwell	Center	27	3-4	0-0	1-2	5	1	1	1	7
Chaney Johnson	Forward	15	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Tahaad Pettiford	G	18	0-8	0-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Chris Moore	Forward	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

113.5Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency113.5

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

47.9%Effective FG%47.3%

58.5%True Shooting %49.7%

18.1%Turnover Rate9.6%

57.4%Free Throw Rate40.0%

40.4%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.64Assist / Turnover2.17

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.