Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%Wisconsin

75.0%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -300

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 74

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreMichigan State 82

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricMichigan State

64.5MMH Power Index69.8

118.6Offensive Efficiency117.0

108.8Defensive Efficiency101.5

9.8Net Efficiency15.5

6.7Strength of Schedule7.2

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.9Tempo67.3

54.6%Effective FG%54.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

32.5%Free Throw Rate36.6%

6.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–64.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–108.8), net efficiency (15.5–9.8), strength of schedule (7.2–6.7).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.6–117.0), shooting efficiency (54.6–54.1), ball security (12.8–17.2).

Final

Wisconsin

77—74

Michigan State

Wisconsin by 3 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATMichigan State

23-54FG24-59

43.0%FG%41.0%

9-293PT7-19

31.0%3PT%37.0%

22-28FT19-24

79.0%FT%79.0%

33Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists13

7Turnovers7

3Steals1

4Blocks2

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Tonje	Guard	34	8-15	4-10	12-14	7	2	0	1	32
John Blackwell	G	29	4-11	1-4	5-7	3	2	1	0	14
Carter Gilmore	Forward	30	4-7	2-3	0-0	5	5	1	3	10
Nolan Winter	F	12	1-2	1-2	3-4	0	1	0	0	6
Steve Crowl	Forward	31	2-6	1-3	0-0	8	1	0	0	5
Max Klesmit	Guard	18	1-5	0-2	2-2	1	3	0	0	4
Kamari McGee	Guard	25	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Jack Janicki	G	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Xavier Amos	F	7	1-3	0-2	0-1	1	1	0	0	2

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jase Richardson	Guard	31	5-10	4-5	7-7	7	1	0	1	21
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	26	5-8	0-1	4-4	3	6	0	0	14
Tre Holloman	G	26	3-12	1-5	3-4	2	2	0	0	10
Carson Cooper	C	28	2-3	0-0	4-4	10	3	0	0	8
Jaxon Kohler	F	16	3-4	1-1	0-1	7	1	0	0	7
Jaden Akins	Guard	28	2-8	1-4	1-3	1	0	0	1	6
Coen Carr	F	23	3-8	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Frankie Fidler	Forward	9	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Szymon Zapala	Center	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Xavier Booker	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

111.0Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency111.0

4.3Net Efficiency-4.3

50.9%Effective FG%46.6%

57.2%True Shooting %52.6%

10.1%Turnover Rate10.1%

51.9%Free Throw Rate40.7%

53.7%3-Point Rate32.2%

2.14Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.