Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%Saint Francis

75.0%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.8

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -300

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 73

Projected Total153.8

Projected ScoreAlabama State 81

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricAlabama State

32.7MMH Power Index38

101.2Offensive Efficiency101.7

114.7Defensive Efficiency107.4

-13.5Net Efficiency-5.7

-2.3Strength of Schedule-6.2

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

70.6Tempo71.9

49.8%Effective FG%48.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate18.2%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

31.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-9.5Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.0–32.7), offensive efficiency (101.7–101.2), defensive efficiency (107.4–114.7), net efficiency (-5.7–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-6.2), shooting efficiency (49.8–48.2).

Final

Saint Francis

68—70

Alabama State

Alabama State by 2 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATAlabama State

24-48FG30-70

50.0%FG%43.0%

10-223PT9-29

45.0%3PT%31.0%

10-14FT1-4

71.0%FT%25.0%

33Rebounds35

3Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists12

15Turnovers6

3Steals9

6Blocks1

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	36	6-12	5-7	1-2	8	2	0	1	18
Valentino Pinedo	F	38	6-10	0-0	5-5	2	2	1	0	17
Riley Parker	G	32	4-8	2-6	2-3	5	1	1	1	12
Daemar Kelly	G	31	3-7	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	2	7
Chris Moncrief	G	31	2-6	1-2	2-4	5	3	1	2	7
Jeremy Clayville	G	10	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Wisler Sanon II	Guard	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	4	0	0	2
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Aidan Harris	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amarr Knox	G	26	8-15	0-2	0-2	0	0	2	0	16
TJ Madlock	Guard	30	5-8	0-0	1-2	7	2	0	0	11
CJ Hines	G	32	4-15	2-5	0-0	3	2	1	0	10
Micah Simpson	G	17	3-8	3-7	0-0	1	3	3	0	9
D'Ante Bass	Forward	18	3-8	2-7	0-0	7	0	1	0	8
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	11	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	3	0	0	5
JaSteven Walker	F	26	2-7	0-3	0-0	5	2	0	1	4
Micah Octave	G	21	2-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	2	0	4
Tyler Mack	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Ubong Okon	C	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

102.6Offensive Efficiency105.6

105.6Defensive Efficiency102.6

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

60.4%Effective FG%49.3%

62.2%True Shooting %48.7%

22.5%Turnover Rate9.1%

29.2%Free Throw Rate5.7%

45.8%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.