Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.1%Alabama State

96.9%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -21.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -3126

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 69

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreAuburn 91

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricAuburn

38MMH Power Index64.4

101.7Offensive Efficiency118.8

107.4Defensive Efficiency113.0

-5.7Net Efficiency5.8

-6.2Strength of Schedule7.5

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

71.9Tempo69.8

48.2%Effective FG%53.1%

18.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-4.1Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–38.0), offensive efficiency (118.8–101.7), net efficiency (5.8–-5.7), strength of schedule (7.5–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–113.0).

Final

Alabama State

63—83

Auburn

Auburn by 20 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATAuburn

23-62FG27-60

37.0%FG%45.0%

6-253PT11-35

24.0%3PT%31.0%

11-19FT18-32

58.0%FT%56.0%

36Rebounds46

8Offensive Rebounds14

6Assists16

10Turnovers12

10Steals2

3Blocks3

27Fouls17

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amarr Knox	G	33	8-18	2-6	0-2	4	0	2	0	18
TJ Madlock	Guard	28	4-10	0-1	3-6	4	0	2	0	11
CJ Hines	G	29	3-15	1-8	2-4	3	1	1	0	9
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	9	3-6	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
JaSteven Walker	F	23	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	1	6
Micah Octave	G	17	2-3	1-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	5
D'Ante Bass	Forward	23	0-1	0-1	2-2	9	2	2	1	2
Ubong Okon	C	17	1-1	0-0	0-1	4	0	1	1	2
Micah Simpson	G	9	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Tyler Mack	G	12	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Kelly	Guard	29	8-16	7-15	0-0	3	0	0	1	23
Tahaad Pettiford	G	28	5-9	2-6	4-5	5	5	0	0	16
Johni Broome	Forward	27	5-9	0-3	4-9	11	1	0	0	14
Chaney Johnson	Forward	28	5-9	0-1	3-4	7	1	0	0	13
Denver Jones	Guard	31	2-6	1-5	3-5	4	6	0	0	8
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	24	1-9	1-5	2-3	2	3	1	1	5
Dylan Cardwell	Center	20	1-1	0-0	1-4	8	0	1	1	3
Blake Muschalek	G	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Moore	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jahki Howard	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

86.2Offensive Efficiency113.5

113.5Defensive Efficiency86.2

-27.4Net Efficiency27.4

41.9%Effective FG%54.2%

44.4%True Shooting %55.2%

13.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.6%Free Throw Rate53.3%

40.3%3-Point Rate58.3%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Auburn won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.