UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.4%UNC Wilmington

77.6%Texas Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas Tech -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Tech -346

Texas Tech

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 71

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 79

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricTexas Tech

59.2MMH Power Index65.8

114.1Offensive Efficiency117.8

101.7Defensive Efficiency107.2

12.4Net Efficiency10.6

-1.5Strength of Schedule9.4

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

66.9Tempo68.1

51.1%Effective FG%56.4%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.8%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

41.7%Free Throw Rate28.2%

8.3Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (101.7–107.2), net efficiency (12.4–10.6), recent form (5.5–0.9), ball security (14.8–15.8).

Texas Tech COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (65.8–59.2), offensive efficiency (117.8–114.1), strength of schedule (9.4–-1.5).

Final

UNC Wilmington

72—82

Texas Tech

Texas Tech by 10 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATTexas Tech

26-63FG27-69

41.0%FG%39.0%

7-263PT13-46

27.0%3PT%28.0%

13-15FT15-23

87.0%FT%65.0%

42Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds14

20Assists21

13Turnovers7

2Steals4

1Blocks3

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nolan Hodge	G	32	7-15	2-7	2-3	7	3	0	0	18
Bo Montgomery	Guard	24	4-6	1-3	1-1	5	3	1	0	10
Sean Moore	Forward	27	3-8	2-4	1-2	9	1	0	0	9
Donovan Newby	Not Available	36	2-10	2-8	2-2	2	5	1	0	8
Noah Ross	G	30	3-9	0-4	2-2	5	3	0	0	8
Khamari McGriff	F	16	4-10	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Harlan Obioha	C	23	2-4	0-0	3-3	9	1	0	1	7
Greedy Williams	G	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	4	0	0	4

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kerwin Walton	Guard	34	8-19	8-19	3-4	3	2	0	0	27
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	40	3-14	3-12	5-8	9	10	1	0	14
Darrion Williams	F	30	5-15	0-4	3-5	9	2	0	0	13
JT Toppin	F	31	6-8	0-1	0-0	11	3	0	2	12
Christian Anderson	G	38	2-9	1-8	2-3	2	3	0	1	7
Federiko Federiko	F	8	2-2	0-0	2-3	2	0	2	0	6
Kevin Overton	G	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

99.3Offensive Efficiency113.1

113.1Defensive Efficiency99.3

-13.8Net Efficiency13.8

46.8%Effective FG%48.6%

51.3%True Shooting %51.3%

18.0%Turnover Rate9.6%

23.8%Free Throw Rate33.3%

41.3%3-Point Rate66.7%

1.54Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Texas Tech won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.