Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Northern Colorado

51.3%South Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Dakota State -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Dakota State -105

South Dakota State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 78

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 79

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricSouth Dakota State

53.7MMH Power Index49.6

116.0Offensive Efficiency110.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency106.9

8.4Net Efficiency3.7

-4.3Strength of Schedule-2.2

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.5

71.1Tempo68.2

56.9%Effective FG%52.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.2%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %31.5%

27.8%Free Throw Rate30.3%

6.0Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–49.6), offensive efficiency (116.0–110.6), net efficiency (8.4–3.7), recent form (10.8–0.5).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–107.6), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.3), offensive rebounding (31.5–27.9).

Final

Northern Colorado

78—69

South Dakota State

Northern Colorado by 9 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATSouth Dakota State

31-64FG23-71

48.0%FG%32.0%

9-293PT5-27

31.0%3PT%19.0%

7-8FT18-20

88.0%FT%90.0%

36Rebounds46

4Offensive Rebounds17

10Assists8

6Turnovers8

5Steals2

2Blocks2

17Fouls11

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	33	7-16	2-9	5-6	5	2	2	0	21
Langston Reynolds	G	35	7-10	0-2	2-2	3	2	0	1	16
Zach Bloch	G	28	5-6	5-6	0-0	5	0	0	0	15
Jaron Rillie	Guard	33	5-11	1-5	0-0	8	5	0	0	11
Brock Wisne	F	26	4-9	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	8
Marcell McCreary	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	4	0	2	0	3
Egan Shields	C	14	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Quinn Denker	G	11	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Luca Colceag	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Oscar Cluff	C	31	8-13	0-0	6-7	11	3	0	1	22
Joe Sayler	G	25	3-11	1-4	3-3	4	0	0	0	10
Kalen Garry	G	28	3-10	1-5	2-2	1	2	1	0	9
Matthew Mors	F	25	2-8	1-4	4-4	2	0	0	0	9
Stoney Hadnot	F	20	3-6	0-1	3-4	8	0	0	1	9
Owen Larson	G	32	2-8	1-5	0-0	3	2	1	0	5
William Whorton	F	9	1-3	1-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	3
Jaden Jackson	G	19	1-9	0-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Nate Barnhart	Forward	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency97.6

97.6Defensive Efficiency110.3

12.7Net Efficiency-12.7

55.5%Effective FG%35.9%

57.5%True Shooting %42.9%

8.6%Turnover Rate11.2%

12.5%Free Throw Rate28.2%

45.3%3-Point Rate38.0%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.