Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.4%Colorado State

41.6%Memphis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -140

Memphis

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 76

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreMemphis 75

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricMemphis

55.4MMH Power Index47.8

117.1Offensive Efficiency104.6

109.9Defensive Efficiency106.5

7.2Net Efficiency-1.9

0.4Strength of Schedule4.4

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.1

64.7Tempo71.9

58.6%Effective FG%48.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate18.9%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

41.2%Free Throw Rate35.1%

4.6Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.8), offensive efficiency (117.1–104.6), net efficiency (7.2–-1.9), recent form (4.3–-11.1).

Memphis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.5–109.9), strength of schedule (4.4–0.4), offensive rebounding (35.0–29.2).

Final

Colorado State

78—70

Memphis

Colorado State by 8 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATMemphis

24-57FG25-59

42.0%FG%42.0%

11-303PT6-23

37.0%3PT%26.0%

19-25FT14-20

76.0%FT%70.0%

34Rebounds41

13Offensive Rebounds16

14Assists8

10Turnovers16

8Steals7

1Blocks6

13Fouls20

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyan Evans	G	36	7-11	6-9	3-5	2	4	2	0	23
Nique Clifford	Guard	38	3-13	0-6	8-10	8	6	1	0	14
Jalen Lake	Guard	33	4-10	3-7	3-4	5	2	2	0	14
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	30	5-9	0-3	2-2	5	0	1	1	12
Rashaan Mbemba	F	21	3-5	1-1	1-2	5	0	1	0	8
Bowen Born	Guard	10	1-4	0-3	2-2	0	1	0	0	4
Kyle Jorgensen	F	8	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Ethan Morton	Guard	14	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Nikola Djapa	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keshawn Williams	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Memphis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dain Dainja	Forward	40	8-13	0-0	6-10	12	0	3	3	22
P.J. Haggerty	G	38	7-23	1-8	3-4	6	3	2	0	18
Colby Rogers	Guard	36	7-12	4-7	0-0	1	0	0	1	18
PJ Carter	G	21	1-4	1-4	4-4	1	0	0	0	7
Moussa Cisse	Center	18	1-1	0-0	1-2	11	0	1	1	3
Nick Jourdain	Forward	22	1-4	0-3	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Baraka Okojie	G	22	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	4	1	0	0
Damarien Yates	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

116.1Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency116.1

11.9Net Efficiency-11.9

51.8%Effective FG%47.5%

56.6%True Shooting %51.1%

15.2%Turnover Rate23.4%

43.9%Free Throw Rate33.9%

52.6%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.40Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.