Vanderbilt

27-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Vanderbilt

67.0%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -203

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVanderbilt 74

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 79

Team Comparison

VanderbiltMetricSaint Mary's

68.9MMH Power Index70.7

120.9Offensive Efficiency116.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency97.4

15.2Net Efficiency19.3

7.4Strength of Schedule3.0

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

70.9Tempo66.3

55.3%Effective FG%53.1%

13.5%Turnover Rate16.6%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

39.3%Free Throw Rate36.8%

10.8Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–68.9), defensive efficiency (97.4–105.7), net efficiency (19.3–15.2), recent form (18.6–2.7).

Vanderbilt COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (120.9–116.7), strength of schedule (7.4–3.0), shooting efficiency (55.3–53.1).

Final

Vanderbilt

56—59

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 3 • 58.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VanderbiltTEAM STATSaint Mary's

22-55FG22-55

40.0%FG%40.0%

8-263PT7-25

31.0%3PT%28.0%

4-7FT8-12

57.0%FT%67.0%

28Rebounds41

5Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists10

4Turnovers9

6Steals1

2Blocks6

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Vanderbilt

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jason Edwards	G	30	8-18	2-9	0-0	5	3	1	0	18
Tyler Nickel	F	34	3-8	3-8	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Chris Manon	Guard	30	3-6	0-1	2-2	7	2	2	1	8
Devin McGlockton	F	30	3-8	1-3	0-0	7	1	0	1	7
Grant Huffman	Guard	21	1-1	1-1	1-2	0	0	1	0	4
Jaylen Carey	F	15	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
AJ Hoggard	Guard	23	1-8	0-1	1-3	0	4	1	0	3
Tyler Tanner	G	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
MJ Collins Jr.	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
JaQualon Roberts	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Ross	G	33	6-11	2-4	1-2	3	3	0	3	15
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	31	5-9	2-6	2-2	8	2	0	0	14
Luke Barrett	Forward	37	4-10	2-5	2-2	10	2	0	0	12
Mitchell Saxen	Center	34	5-8	1-1	1-2	11	0	1	1	12
Paulius Murauskas	F	23	1-9	0-4	2-4	3	1	0	1	4
Harry Wessels	C	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Mikey Lewis	G	16	0-7	0-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ashton Hardaway	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Joshua Dent	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.5Possessions58.5

95.7Offensive Efficiency100.9

100.9Defensive Efficiency95.7

-5.1Net Efficiency5.1

47.3%Effective FG%46.4%

48.0%True Shooting %48.6%

7.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

12.7%Free Throw Rate21.8%

47.3%3-Point Rate45.5%

3.00Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 58.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.