Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.7%Baylor

25.3%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL162.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -295

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 85

Projected Total162.7

Projected ScoreMississippi State 78

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricMississippi State

58.9MMH Power Index44.6

116.7Offensive Efficiency107.4

109.5Defensive Efficiency113.2

7.2Net Efficiency-5.8

4.0Strength of Schedule5.0

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

69.7Tempo72.3

54.4%Effective FG%51.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.1%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

34.8%Free Throw Rate30.9%

5.1Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–44.6), offensive efficiency (116.7–107.4), defensive efficiency (109.5–113.2), net efficiency (7.2–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.0–4.0), ball security (16.1–16.4).

Final

Baylor

75—72

Mississippi State

Baylor by 3 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATMississippi State

27-62FG26-52

44.0%FG%50.0%

6-243PT10-30

25.0%3PT%33.0%

15-19FT10-13

79.0%FT%77.0%

37Rebounds29

16Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists13

10Turnovers14

10Steals6

3Blocks—

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Wright III	G	31	8-15	1-3	2-2	3	2	1	0	19
Langston Love	G	29	7-12	1-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	15
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	37	3-8	2-6	6-6	5	2	1	1	14
Norchad Omier	Forward	39	3-11	0-2	6-8	10	3	1	1	12
Jalen Celestine	G	33	2-6	1-2	1-2	8	2	1	0	6
Jeremy Roach	Guard	14	3-7	0-3	0-0	2	1	3	0	6
Jayden Nunn	Guard	16	1-3	1-3	0-1	0	3	2	1	3
Marino Dubravcic	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	35	11-18	4-10	0-0	0	2	1	26
Claudell Harris Jr.	Guard	35	4-8	2-6	3-3	3	3	3	13
Riley Kugel	G	23	4-6	3-5	0-0	2	1	1	11
KeShawn Murphy	F	20	4-7	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	10
RJ Melendez	Forward	21	2-6	1-4	1-2	2	1	0	6
Cameron Matthews	Forward	34	0-0	0-0	2-3	10	5	0	2
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	16	1-5	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	2
Mike Nwoko	F	15	0-2	0-0	2-3	4	1	0	2
Dellquan Warren	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

115.2Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency115.2

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

48.4%Effective FG%59.6%

52.8%True Shooting %61.9%

15.4%Turnover Rate21.5%

30.6%Free Throw Rate25.0%

38.7%3-Point Rate57.7%

1.30Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Baylor won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.