Creighton

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.4%Creighton

88.6%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -12.8

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -777

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCreighton 73

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreAuburn 86

Team Comparison

CreightonMetricAuburn

50.6MMH Power Index64.4

109.0Offensive Efficiency118.8

109.5Defensive Efficiency113.0

-0.5Net Efficiency5.8

5.1Strength of Schedule7.5

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

68.9Tempo69.8

53.0%Effective FG%53.1%

16.6%Turnover Rate14.5%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

29.0%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-0.3Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–50.6), offensive efficiency (118.8–109.0), net efficiency (5.8–-0.5), strength of schedule (7.5–5.1).

Creighton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–113.0).

Final

Creighton

70—82

Auburn

Auburn by 12 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CreightonTEAM STATAuburn

25-53FG30-64

47.0%FG%47.0%

12-273PT7-19

44.0%3PT%37.0%

8-13FT15-21

62.0%FT%71.0%

27Rebounds37

4Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists11

11Turnovers7

2Steals5

1Blocks4

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Kalkbrenner	Center	38	7-13	1-3	3-4	7	1	0	0	18
Steven Ashworth	Guard	39	5-11	3-7	0-0	2	8	0	0	13
Jamiya Neal	Guard	37	5-13	2-5	1-3	2	2	0	0	13
Jackson McAndrew	F	33	4-8	4-8	0-0	6	1	1	1	12
Fedor Zugic	Guard	20	2-2	2-2	4-6	2	3	1	0	10
Jasen Green	F	23	2-6	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Isaac Traudt	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Fred King	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Josh Townley-Thomas	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mason Miller	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ty Davis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sami Osmani	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahaad Pettiford	G	32	7-14	2-3	7-8	6	3	0	0	23
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	21	6-12	2-4	3-4	2	1	0	0	17
Denver Jones	Guard	36	5-8	2-2	3-3	1	3	1	0	15
Johni Broome	Forward	34	4-13	0-4	0-2	12	1	1	2	8
Chaney Johnson	Forward	25	4-6	0-1	0-0	8	0	1	0	8
Dylan Cardwell	Center	21	3-3	0-0	0-2	4	3	1	2	6
Miles Kelly	Guard	29	1-8	1-5	2-2	0	0	1	0	5
Jahki Howard	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

102.8Offensive Efficiency120.4

120.4Defensive Efficiency102.8

-17.6Net Efficiency17.6

58.5%Effective FG%52.3%

59.1%True Shooting %55.4%

16.6%Turnover Rate10.0%

24.5%Free Throw Rate32.8%

50.9%3-Point Rate29.7%

1.55Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Auburn won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.