Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.6%Gonzaga

61.4%Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL145.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -159

Houston

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 72

Projected Total145.9

Projected ScoreHouston 74

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricHouston

76.4MMH Power Index76

119.7Offensive Efficiency118.4

94.0Defensive Efficiency95.9

25.7Net Efficiency22.5

3.0Strength of Schedule5.9

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.9

70.4Tempo65.2

55.7%Effective FG%52.3%

13.6%Turnover Rate12.9%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

31.5%Free Throw Rate26.9%

18.1Average Margin14.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–76.0), offensive efficiency (119.7–118.4), defensive efficiency (94.0–95.9), net efficiency (25.7–22.5).

Houston COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.9–3.0), recent form (18.9–18.2), ball security (12.9–13.6).

Final

Gonzaga

76—81

Houston

Houston by 5 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATHouston

26-52FG29-62

50.0%FG%47.0%

9-203PT8-16

45.0%3PT%50.0%

15-15FT15-20

100.0%FT%75.0%

27Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds13

19Assists19

11Turnovers7

5Steals7

3Blocks5

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	37	8-13	2-3	9-9	5	1	0	2	27
Khalif Battle	Guard	39	5-16	3-7	4-4	6	1	1	0	17
Braden Huff	F	31	5-8	1-1	0-0	4	3	0	0	11
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	3-5	2-4	2-2	2	11	2	0	10
Ben Gregg	Forward	5	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	21	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	3
Michael Ajayi	F	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Nolan Hickman	Guard	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Dusty Stromer	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
L.J. Cryer	Guard	37	8-15	6-11	8-8	2	3	1	0	30
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	32	9-18	0-0	0-2	8	5	2	0	18
Emanuel Sharp	G	25	4-7	1-3	3-4	1	0	1	0	12
Joseph Tugler	F	20	5-9	0-0	0-0	11	1	0	2	10
Milos Uzan	G	37	2-7	1-2	2-2	2	8	1	0	7
Mylik Wilson	Guard	20	1-3	0-0	1-2	5	2	2	1	3
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	19	0-3	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	2	1
Terrance Arceneaux	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

116.4Offensive Efficiency124.0

124.0Defensive Efficiency116.4

-7.7Net Efficiency7.7

58.7%Effective FG%53.2%

64.3%True Shooting %56.6%

16.9%Turnover Rate10.7%

28.8%Free Throw Rate32.3%

38.5%3-Point Rate25.8%

1.73Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

Houston won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.