Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%Arkansas

65.0%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL165.2

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -186

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 80

Projected Total165.2

Projected ScoreSt. John's 85

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricSt. John's

69.3MMH Power Index70.3

122.2Offensive Efficiency114.4

109.8Defensive Efficiency97.6

12.4Net Efficiency16.8

8.6Strength of Schedule5.5

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

73.8Tempo70.9

56.4%Effective FG%51.3%

12.2%Turnover Rate14.3%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate41.1%

9.2Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–69.3), defensive efficiency (97.6–109.8), net efficiency (16.8–12.4), recent form (11.4–3.4).

Arkansas COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (122.2–114.4), strength of schedule (8.6–5.5), shooting efficiency (56.4–51.3).

Final

Arkansas

75—66

St. John's

Arkansas by 9 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATSt. John's

27-63FG21-75

43.0%FG%28.0%

2-193PT2-22

11.0%3PT%9.0%

19-27FT22-31

70.0%FT%71.0%

45Rebounds51

16Offensive Rebounds28

10Assists5

9Turnovers6

5Steals5

7Blocks3

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Billy Richmond III	G	29	6-10	0-1	4-7	9	0	0	0	16
Karter Knox	G	27	3-5	0-2	9-11	6	1	1	4	15
Johnell Davis	Guard	28	5-10	1-4	2-2	4	1	0	1	13
D.J. Wagner	G	34	4-16	0-2	0-0	1	4	2	0	8
Trevon Brazile	F	30	4-10	0-5	0-2	8	0	0	1	8
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	22	2-3	0-0	3-3	7	2	1	1	7
Boogie Fland	G	20	2-8	1-5	1-2	4	2	1	0	6
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zuby Ejiofor	F	37	7-12	0-2	9-11	12	0	2	1	23
Deivon Smith	Guard	32	4-11	0-3	5-7	6	1	0	0	13
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	30	3-17	0-3	3-4	7	0	2	0	9
Aaron Scott	Guard	32	1-10	1-6	4-6	10	1	0	1	7
Kadary Richmond	Guard	16	2-7	0-1	1-2	4	2	0	0	5
Ruben Prey	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	17	1-8	1-6	0-1	2	1	0	1	3
Simeon Wilcher	G	15	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

109.8Offensive Efficiency96.6

96.6Defensive Efficiency109.8

13.2Net Efficiency-13.2

44.4%Effective FG%29.3%

49.5%True Shooting %36.8%

13.1%Turnover Rate8.9%

42.9%Free Throw Rate41.3%

30.2%3-Point Rate29.3%

1.11Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.