Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.7%Saint Mary's

59.3%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -146

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 80

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreAlabama 82

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricAlabama

70.7MMH Power Index69.5

116.7Offensive Efficiency121.6

97.4Defensive Efficiency111.2

19.3Net Efficiency10.4

3.0Strength of Schedule9.4

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

66.3Tempo74.7

53.1%Effective FG%54.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate13.0%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

12.8Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–69.5), defensive efficiency (97.4–111.2), net efficiency (19.3–10.4), recent form (18.6–9.5).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (121.6–116.7), strength of schedule (9.4–3.0), shooting efficiency (54.9–53.1).

Final

Saint Mary's

66—80

Alabama

Alabama by 14 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATAlabama

24-70FG29-56

34.0%FG%52.0%

3-143PT7-17

21.0%3PT%41.0%

15-21FT15-20

71.0%FT%75.0%

36Rebounds41

15Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists15

6Turnovers11

7Steals4

4Blocks7

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mitchell Saxen	Center	39	7-12	0-0	1-3	5	1	3	0	15
Harry Wessels	C	22	3-9	0-0	6-8	8	0	0	3	12
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	34	3-11	1-3	4-6	2	4	1	0	11
Jordan Ross	G	34	4-15	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	8
Paulius Murauskas	F	17	2-7	1-4	2-2	1	1	0	0	7
Mikey Lewis	G	11	3-8	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	1	7
Luke Barrett	Forward	37	2-7	0-2	2-2	7	1	2	0	6
Ashton Hardaway	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kevin Gad	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Andrew McKeever	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joshua Dent	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Bennett	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Youngblood	Guard	24	4-5	3-3	2-2	1	0	1	0	13
Grant Nelson	Forward	28	3-7	1-4	5-6	8	2	0	1	12
Mark Sears	Guard	26	5-15	0-4	2-2	0	3	0	1	12
Aden Holloway	G	22	4-6	1-1	3-4	1	3	0	0	12
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	25	5-7	0-0	0-0	11	2	0	2	10
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	15	4-5	2-2	0-0	5	0	0	1	10
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	28	2-8	0-2	2-2	6	5	3	2	6
Derrion Reid	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Jarin Stevenson	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Aiden Sherrell	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-2	4	0	0	0	0
Max Scharnowski	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

94.6Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency94.6

-20.1Net Efficiency20.1

36.4%Effective FG%58.0%

41.3%True Shooting %61.1%

8.5%Turnover Rate16.1%

30.0%Free Throw Rate35.7%

20.0%3-Point Rate30.4%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Alabama won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.