New Mexico

26-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.3%New Mexico

76.7%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -329

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 72

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreMichigan State 80

Team Comparison

New MexicoMetricMichigan State

63.7MMH Power Index69.8

114.8Offensive Efficiency117.0

100.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

14.6Net Efficiency15.5

2.0Strength of Schedule7.2

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

70.7Tempo67.3

53.7%Effective FG%54.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

36.5%Free Throw Rate36.6%

10.3Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–63.7), offensive efficiency (117.0–114.8), net efficiency (15.5–14.6), strength of schedule (7.2–2.0).

New Mexico COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–101.5), ball security (14.8–17.2).

Final

New Mexico

63—71

Michigan State

Michigan State by 8 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New MexicoTEAM STATMichigan State

27-56FG24-54

48.0%FG%44.0%

4-133PT4-15

31.0%3PT%27.0%

5-10FT19-28

50.0%FT%68.0%

28Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists14

10Turnovers9

5Steals6

1Blocks7

22Fouls11

Player Box Score

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	29	7-9	0-0	2-4	7	1	2	0	16
Donovan Dent	G	38	7-18	0-0	0-0	2	6	0	0	14
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	35	6-8	2-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	14
Tru Washington	G	35	3-11	0-5	2-4	3	0	1	1	8
Filip Borovicanin	F	28	1-4	1-2	1-2	7	0	0	0	4
Jovan Milicevic	F	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
CJ Noland	Guard	17	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Atiki Ally Atiki	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Braden Appelhans	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Akins	Guard	30	7-11	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	1	16
Tre Holloman	G	25	5-13	2-5	2-4	1	4	3	1	14
Frankie Fidler	Forward	18	4-7	0-1	2-5	1	1	0	1	10
Coen Carr	F	25	2-3	0-0	4-4	6	1	0	1	8
Jase Richardson	Guard	30	1-10	0-5	4-4	4	4	2	0	6
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	27	0-2	0-0	5-8	3	2	1	1	5
Jaxon Kohler	F	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Carson Cooper	C	17	1-2	0-0	2-3	8	0	0	1	4
Szymon Zapala	Center	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

96.8Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.1Defensive Efficiency96.8

-12.3Net Efficiency12.3

51.8%Effective FG%48.1%

51.9%True Shooting %52.7%

15.4%Turnover Rate13.8%

17.9%Free Throw Rate51.9%

23.2%3-Point Rate27.8%

0.70Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.