Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.0%Illinois

29.0%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -245

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 81

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreKentucky 76

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricKentucky

76.5MMH Power Index63.9

125.0Offensive Efficiency115.2

103.3Defensive Efficiency106.3

21.7Net Efficiency8.9

6.7Strength of Schedule8.7

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

66.5Tempo69.9

54.8%Effective FG%53.2%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.4%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

33.8%Free Throw Rate38.0%

14.5Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–63.9), offensive efficiency (125.0–115.2), defensive efficiency (103.3–106.3), net efficiency (21.7–8.9).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.7–6.7), free throw rate (38.0–33.8).

Final

Illinois

75—84

Kentucky

Kentucky by 9 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATKentucky

27-62FG32-68

44.0%FG%47.0%

9-323PT8-21

28.0%3PT%38.0%

12-19FT12-20

63.0%FT%60.0%

44Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists18

14Turnovers5

3Steals14

5Blocks4

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylan Boswell	G	38	9-14	2-5	3-5	3	6	0	0	23
Tomislav Ivisic	C	31	6-15	5-12	2-3	6	3	1	4	19
Kasparas Jakucionis	Guard	37	5-13	2-9	1-2	5	2	0	0	13
Tre White	G	31	4-9	0-3	0-0	7	0	1	1	8
Will Riley	Forward	26	1-7	0-3	3-4	5	1	0	0	5
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	17	2-4	0-0	1-3	7	0	1	0	5
Ben Humrichous	F	13	0-0	0-0	2-2	7	0	0	0	2
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Davis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Koby Brea	Guard	36	10-16	3-8	0-0	6	1	1	0	23
Otega Oweh	G	25	6-12	0-1	3-5	4	1	1	1	15
Lamont Butler	Guard	33	4-5	2-3	4-5	2	5	3	0	14
Amari Williams	Center	26	4-11	0-0	0-1	10	6	1	3	8
Collin Chandler	G	18	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	0	3	0	6
Brandon Garrison	F	14	2-8	0-2	1-3	4	2	2	0	5
Ansley Almonor	Forward	8	1-3	1-3	2-2	1	1	0	0	5
Andrew Carr	Forward	32	2-8	0-1	0-1	6	2	3	0	4
Trent Noah	F	8	1-1	0-0	2-3	0	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

102.3Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency102.3

-12.3Net Efficiency12.3

50.8%Effective FG%52.9%

52.8%True Shooting %54.2%

19.2%Turnover Rate6.8%

30.6%Free Throw Rate29.4%

51.6%3-Point Rate30.9%

0.86Assist / Turnover3.60

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.