Ole Miss

15-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.5%Ole Miss

95.5%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -21.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -2122

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOle Miss 65

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreIowa State 86

Team Comparison

Ole MissMetricIowa State

53MMH Power Index75.9

109.2Offensive Efficiency119.3

109.5Defensive Efficiency96.0

-0.3Net Efficiency23.3

5.4Strength of Schedule4.9

-2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

69.5Tempo68.4

50.6%Effective FG%56.1%

14.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

33.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-0.2Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–53.0), offensive efficiency (119.3–109.2), defensive efficiency (96.0–109.5), net efficiency (23.3–-0.3).

Ole Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.4–4.9), ball security (14.0–15.0).

Final

Ole Miss

91—78

Iowa State

Ole Miss by 13 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ole MissTEAM STATIowa State

32-55FG27-56

58.0%FG%48.0%

11-193PT8-22

58.0%3PT%36.0%

16-21FT16-24

76.0%FT%67.0%

29Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists9

8Turnovers15

11Steals5

1Blocks—

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Pedulla	Guard	37	6-13	3-8	5-6	2	8	4	0	20
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	26	6-8	2-2	5-5	2	0	2	0	19
Malik Dia	F	26	8-14	2-2	0-2	8	1	2	0	18
Matthew Murrell	Guard	30	5-7	3-3	2-3	4	0	2	0	15
Jaylen Murray	Guard	31	4-7	1-3	2-3	2	3	1	0	11
Dre Davis	Guard	29	1-4	0-1	2-2	5	2	0	1	4
Davon Barnes	Not Available	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Eduardo Klafke	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Curtis Jones	Guard	31	9-17	4-9	4-4	4	3	0	26
Joshua Jefferson	F	37	5-10	0-2	6-11	8	1	2	16
Nate Heise	G	32	5-5	3-3	0-0	3	2	1	13
Dishon Jackson	C	17	4-7	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	9
Tamin Lipsey	G	32	1-2	0-0	5-7	2	2	2	7
Milan Momcilovic	F	34	2-12	1-8	0-0	4	1	0	5
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	2
Cade Kelderman	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

133.4Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.4Defensive Efficiency133.4

19.1Net Efficiency-19.1

68.2%Effective FG%55.4%

70.0%True Shooting %57.9%

11.9%Turnover Rate21.6%

38.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

34.5%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.88Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Ole Miss won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.