Arizona

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Arizona

67.0%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -203

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona 74

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreDuke 79

Team Comparison

ArizonaMetricDuke

79.9MMH Power Index81.7

120.3Offensive Efficiency122.2

96.9Defensive Efficiency95.2

23.4Net Efficiency27.0

8.0Strength of Schedule7.8

17.0Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

71.6Tempo66.8

55.0%Effective FG%56.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.9%

37.8%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

45.3%Free Throw Rate39.0%

16.8Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–79.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–120.3), defensive efficiency (95.2–96.9), net efficiency (27.0–23.4).

Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.0–7.8), ball security (15.1–15.9), free throw rate (45.3–39.0).

Final

Arizona

93—100

Duke

Duke by 7 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArizonaTEAM STATDuke

30-66FG33-55

45.0%FG%60.0%

12-263PT11-19

46.0%3PT%58.0%

21-23FT23-27

91.0%FT%85.0%

27Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists20

6Turnovers9

5Steals2

1Blocks7

24Fouls22

Player Box Score

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Love	Guard	40	11-21	5-11	8-9	4	1	1	0	35
Jaden Bradley	G	30	6-10	1-2	2-2	2	5	0	0	15
Henri Veesaar	C	28	3-6	0-0	7-8	6	0	0	1	13
Carter Bryant	Forward	26	2-10	2-6	2-2	3	0	2	0	8
KJ Lewis	G	21	3-9	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0	6
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	17	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Trey Townsend	Forward	19	1-4	1-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	5
Conrad Martinez	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Tobe Awaka	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Flagg	Forward	37	9-19	3-5	9-10	6	7	1	3	30
Kon Knueppel	Guard	34	5-7	2-2	8-9	4	3	0	0	20
Sion James	Guard	32	5-6	3-4	3-4	3	4	0	0	16
Khaman Maluach	Center	24	6-8	0-0	1-1	6	0	0	4	13
Patrick Ngongba II	C	12	3-3	0-0	2-3	2	1	0	0	8
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	37	3-8	1-4	0-0	1	3	0	0	7
Mason Gillis	Forward	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Isaiah Evans	G	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Maliq Brown	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Caleb Foster	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

132.1Offensive Efficiency142.0

142.0Defensive Efficiency132.1

-9.9Net Efficiency9.9

54.5%Effective FG%70.0%

60.4%True Shooting %73.7%

8.5%Turnover Rate12.9%

34.8%Free Throw Rate49.1%

39.4%3-Point Rate34.5%

1.67Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Duke won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.