Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Arkansas

53.0%Texas Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas Tech -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL167.1

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Tech -113

Texas Tech

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 83

Projected Total167.1

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 84

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricTexas Tech

69.3MMH Power Index65.8

122.2Offensive Efficiency117.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency107.2

12.4Net Efficiency10.6

8.6Strength of Schedule9.4

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

73.8Tempo68.1

56.4%Effective FG%56.4%

12.2%Turnover Rate15.8%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

36.5%Free Throw Rate28.2%

9.2Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–65.8), offensive efficiency (122.2–117.8), net efficiency (12.4–10.6), recent form (3.4–0.9).

Texas Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.2–109.8), strength of schedule (9.4–8.6), offensive rebounding (32.6–31.8).

Final

Arkansas

83—85

Texas Tech

Texas Tech by 2 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATTexas Tech

27-65FG34-83

42.0%FG%41.0%

10-253PT8-32

40.0%3PT%25.0%

19-22FT9-11

86.0%FT%82.0%

39Rebounds51

11Offensive Rebounds22

10Assists12

10Turnovers8

4Steals7

3Blocks6

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnell Davis	Guard	39	8-22	3-9	11-11	6	1	0	0	30
Karter Knox	G	36	6-8	4-4	4-5	6	0	0	0	20
D.J. Wagner	G	38	5-14	1-4	2-2	3	4	0	0	13
Trevon Brazile	F	36	4-8	2-5	1-1	5	0	1	1	11
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	34	3-5	0-0	0-1	9	1	1	1	6
Billy Richmond III	G	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Adou Thiero	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	1	0
Boogie Fland	G	9	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Anderson	G	44	7-14	3-9	5-5	4	3	0	0	22
Darrion Williams	F	38	8-26	2-10	2-2	9	3	3	1	20
JT Toppin	F	37	10-18	0-1	0-0	10	1	0	5	20
Kevin Overton	G	37	5-11	2-4	0-0	7	0	1	0	12
Federiko Federiko	F	13	3-3	0-0	1-2	9	0	0	0	7
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	45	1-10	1-7	1-2	5	5	2	0	4
Kerwin Walton	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

111.6Offensive Efficiency114.2

114.2Defensive Efficiency111.6

-2.7Net Efficiency2.7

49.2%Effective FG%45.8%

55.0%True Shooting %48.2%

13.4%Turnover Rate10.8%

33.8%Free Throw Rate13.3%

38.5%3-Point Rate38.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Texas Tech won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.