Ole Miss

15-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.5%Ole Miss

91.5%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -16.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1076

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOle Miss 67

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreMichigan State 84

Team Comparison

Ole MissMetricMichigan State

53MMH Power Index69.8

109.2Offensive Efficiency117.0

109.5Defensive Efficiency101.5

-0.3Net Efficiency15.5

5.4Strength of Schedule7.2

-2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.5Tempo67.3

50.6%Effective FG%54.1%

14.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

33.8%Free Throw Rate36.6%

-0.2Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–53.0), offensive efficiency (117.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–109.5), net efficiency (15.5–-0.3).

Ole Miss COUNTERS WITHball security (14.0–17.2).

Final

Ole Miss

70—73

Michigan State

Michigan State by 3 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ole MissTEAM STATMichigan State

26-64FG24-48

41.0%FG%50.0%

9-273PT6-17

33.0%3PT%35.0%

9-10FT19-22

90.0%FT%86.0%

33Rebounds29

12Offensive Rebounds5

13Assists15

8Turnovers10

8Steals1

3Blocks5

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Pedulla	Guard	26	9-17	4-9	2-2	3	4	2	0	24
Matthew Murrell	Guard	33	5-13	3-8	0-0	4	1	3	1	13
Malik Dia	F	29	4-11	1-4	2-2	4	0	0	1	11
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	29	3-6	0-0	3-4	7	3	0	0	9
Jaylen Murray	Guard	30	2-7	1-4	0-0	1	3	1	0	5
Davon Barnes	Not Available	26	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	4
Dre Davis	Guard	22	2-7	0-2	0-0	6	2	1	0	4
Eduardo Klafke	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jase Richardson	Guard	32	6-8	4-6	4-6	6	0	0	0	20
Coen Carr	F	32	6-10	1-2	2-2	3	0	0	1	15
Jaden Akins	Guard	31	5-10	1-5	2-2	4	3	0	0	13
Tre Holloman	G	27	2-7	0-1	6-6	1	3	0	0	10
Carson Cooper	C	21	2-3	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	1	6
Frankie Fidler	Forward	12	2-5	0-1	1-1	1	1	0	1	5
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	27	1-5	0-2	2-3	2	6	1	0	4
Jaxon Kohler	F	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

109.0Offensive Efficiency113.7

113.7Defensive Efficiency109.0

-4.7Net Efficiency4.7

47.7%Effective FG%56.3%

50.9%True Shooting %62.4%

12.4%Turnover Rate15.8%

15.6%Free Throw Rate45.8%

42.2%3-Point Rate35.4%

1.63Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.