Alabama

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.4%Alabama

86.6%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -13.6

PROJECTED TOTAL163.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -646

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama 75

Projected Total163.5

Projected ScoreDuke 89

Team Comparison

AlabamaMetricDuke

69.5MMH Power Index81.7

121.6Offensive Efficiency122.2

111.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

10.4Net Efficiency27.0

9.4Strength of Schedule7.8

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

74.7Tempo66.8

54.9%Effective FG%56.9%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

36.9%Free Throw Rate39.0%

7.7Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–69.5), offensive efficiency (122.2–121.6), defensive efficiency (95.2–111.2), net efficiency (27.0–10.4).

Alabama COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (9.4–7.8), ball security (13.0–15.9).

Final

Alabama

65—85

Duke

Duke by 20 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AlabamaTEAM STATDuke

23-65FG30-56

35.0%FG%54.0%

8-323PT6-13

25.0%3PT%46.0%

11-14FT19-22

79.0%FT%86.0%

30Rebounds41

10Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists19

11Turnovers13

9Steals6

5Blocks3

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	31	4-9	3-6	5-6	5	3	3	0	16
Grant Nelson	Forward	30	5-10	0-2	0-0	7	1	1	1	10
Chris Youngblood	Guard	24	4-9	1-5	1-1	4	1	1	1	10
Mark Sears	Guard	31	2-12	1-5	1-3	0	6	0	0	6
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	14	2-6	0-1	2-2	3	1	2	1	6
Aiden Sherrell	F	9	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Aden Holloway	G	20	2-8	1-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	13	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	2	4
Derrion Reid	F	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jarin Stevenson	F	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kon Knueppel	Guard	35	6-15	2-4	7-7	5	5	3	0	21
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	36	7-10	2-5	1-2	5	2	2	0	17
Cooper Flagg	Forward	36	6-16	1-2	3-3	9	3	0	1	16
Khaman Maluach	Center	31	6-7	0-0	2-2	9	1	1	2	14
Sion James	Guard	27	2-3	0-0	5-6	7	1	0	0	9
Caleb Foster	G	15	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	5
Isaiah Evans	G	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Patrick Ngongba II	C	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	3	0	0	1
Mason Gillis	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Maliq Brown	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

89.5Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency89.5

-27.5Net Efficiency27.5

41.5%Effective FG%58.9%

45.4%True Shooting %64.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.9%

21.5%Free Throw Rate39.3%

49.2%3-Point Rate23.2%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.46

Game Summary

Duke won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.