Houston

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%Houston

75.8%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -313

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston 67

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreDuke 75

Team Comparison

HoustonMetricDuke

76MMH Power Index81.7

118.4Offensive Efficiency122.2

95.9Defensive Efficiency95.2

22.5Net Efficiency27.0

5.9Strength of Schedule7.8

18.9Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

65.2Tempo66.8

52.3%Effective FG%56.9%

12.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

26.9%Free Throw Rate39.0%

14.7Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–76.0), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.4), defensive efficiency (95.2–95.9), net efficiency (27.0–22.5).

Houston COUNTERS WITHrecent form (18.9–18.7), ball security (12.9–15.9).

Final

Houston

70—67

Duke

Houston by 3 • 60.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HoustonTEAM STATDuke

23-61FG21-53

38.0%FG%40.0%

10-223PT7-17

45.0%3PT%41.0%

14-18FT18-23

78.0%FT%78.0%

42Rebounds31

18Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists14

9Turnovers7

6Steals7

6Blocks4

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
L.J. Cryer	Guard	40	8-14	6-9	4-6	5	1	1	0	26
Emanuel Sharp	G	34	4-13	3-7	5-6	3	0	1	0	16
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	35	4-11	0-0	3-4	12	5	2	1	11
Milos Uzan	G	28	3-10	1-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	7
Joseph Tugler	F	25	2-4	0-0	0-0	8	2	1	4	4
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	15	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	4
Mylik Wilson	Guard	9	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Terrance Arceneaux	G	14	0-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Flagg	Forward	36	8-19	3-4	8-8	7	4	2	3	27
Kon Knueppel	Guard	38	5-9	3-5	3-3	7	2	1	0	16
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	37	2-8	0-4	3-5	1	2	0	0	7
Sion James	Guard	27	3-9	1-3	0-0	5	0	1	0	7
Khaman Maluach	Center	21	1-2	0-0	4-5	0	1	0	1	6
Maliq Brown	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	3	2	0	4
Caleb Foster	G	13	0-3	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	0	0
Mason Gillis	Forward	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Patrick Ngongba II	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Evans	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.8Possessions60.8

115.1Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency115.1

4.9Net Efficiency-4.9

45.9%Effective FG%46.2%

50.3%True Shooting %52.4%

14.9%Turnover Rate11.5%

29.5%Free Throw Rate43.4%

36.1%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.11Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Houston won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 60.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.