James Madison

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.9%James Madison

92.1%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -17.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1166

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJames Madison 66

Projected Total149.2

Projected ScoreMichigan State 83

Team Comparison

James MadisonMetricMichigan State

52.3MMH Power Index69.8

110.5Offensive Efficiency117.0

109.4Defensive Efficiency101.5

1.1Net Efficiency15.5

1.2Strength of Schedule7.2

7.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

67.5Tempo67.3

53.3%Effective FG%54.1%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

36.6%Free Throw Rate36.6%

0.7Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–52.3), offensive efficiency (117.0–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–109.4), net efficiency (15.5–1.1).

Final

James Madison

79—76

Michigan State

James Madison by 3 • 82.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

James MadisonTEAM STATMichigan State

25-68FG26-72

37.0%FG%36.0%

8-293PT1-20

28.0%3PT%5.0%

21-28FT23-37

75.0%FT%62.0%

51Rebounds48

14Offensive Rebounds17

14Assists13

15Turnovers11

5Steals8

4Blocks5

32Fouls21

Player Box Score

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	41	5-13	2-5	12-13	5	3	0	0	24
T.J. Bickerstaff	Not Available	33	8-13	0-1	5-10	14	1	0	1	21
Michael Green III	Guard	34	5-13	3-7	0-0	3	3	1	0	13
Noah Freidel	Guard	27	2-9	1-5	2-3	11	1	1	1	7
Julien Wooden	Forward	19	1-4	1-4	2-2	2	2	2	1	5
Jaylen Carey	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Raekwon Horton	Forward	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Quincy Allen	G	11	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Bryant Randleman	Guard	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Xavier Brown	G	14	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jerrell Roberson II	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	39	12-26	0-5	11-17	5	3	6	0	35
Coen Carr	F	28	5-6	0-0	4-6	6	0	0	1	14
AJ Hoggard	Guard	34	2-11	0-4	5-6	4	3	1	1	9
Jaden Akins	Guard	28	2-10	0-4	0-0	11	1	0	0	4
Malik Hall	Forward	24	2-12	0-4	0-0	6	2	0	0	4
Mady Sissoko	Center	21	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Tre Holloman	G	17	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Xavier Booker	C	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	12	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	1	1	1	1
Carson Cooper	C	17	0-0	0-0	0-4	4	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.9Possessions82.9

95.3Offensive Efficiency91.7

91.7Defensive Efficiency95.3

3.6Net Efficiency-3.6

42.6%Effective FG%36.8%

48.6%True Shooting %42.4%

18.2%Turnover Rate13.2%

41.2%Free Throw Rate51.4%

42.6%3-Point Rate27.8%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

James Madison won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 82.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.