Seattle U

21-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%Seattle U

49.1%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSeattle U -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINESeattle U -104

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSeattle U 78

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreCal Poly 77

Team Comparison

Seattle UMetricCal Poly

51.4MMH Power Index46.5

103.9Offensive Efficiency107.2

96.9Defensive Efficiency111.0

7.0Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.7Strength of Schedule1.7

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

69.4Tempo76.6

50.8%Effective FG%52.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate19.8%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

35.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

4.9Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Seattle U HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSeattle U holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–46.5), defensive efficiency (96.9–111.0), net efficiency (7.0–-3.8), recent form (4.1–2.4).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–103.9), strength of schedule (1.7–-1.7), shooting efficiency (52.2–50.8).

Final

Seattle U

71—75

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 4 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Seattle UTEAM STATCal Poly

25-65FG27-55

38.0%FG%49.0%

9-303PT8-25

30.0%3PT%32.0%

12-14FT13-18

86.0%FT%72.0%

36Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists9

16Turnovers18

12Steals9

1Blocks1

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Seattle U

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Christofilis	G	30	6-17	4-10	0-0	4	0	1	0	16
Matthew-Alexander Moncrieffe	Forward	33	4-5	0-0	6-8	15	1	3	0	14
Brayden Maldonado	G	28	5-11	3-8	0-0	0	1	2	0	13
Maleek Arington	G	30	3-8	0-1	2-2	1	7	3	0	8
Malek Gomma	F	21	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	6
Paris Dawson	Guard	19	1-9	1-7	2-2	2	0	2	0	5
Houran Dan	C	10	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Viktor Rajkovic	Forward	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Vasja Pandza	Guard	12	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Will Heimbrodt	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
DaSean Stevens	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Jessup	Guard	33	4-9	4-7	2-2	4	0	1	0	14
Mac Riniker	Guard	26	6-9	1-3	1-3	9	1	1	0	14
Owen Koonce	Guard	32	4-9	0-4	5-6	3	1	2	0	13
Jarred Hyder	Guard	35	4-9	2-6	2-2	2	3	1	0	12
Luka Tarlac	G	26	4-6	0-0	0-0	6	1	2	1	8
Peter Bandelj	G	16	3-4	0-1	1-2	1	2	1	0	7
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	6	2-4	1-2	0-1	0	0	0	0	5
Logan McLaughlin	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Ethan Menzies	Forward	15	0-4	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Kieran Elliott	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Guzman Vasilic	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

96.3Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency96.3

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

45.4%Effective FG%56.4%

49.5%True Shooting %59.0%

21.4%Turnover Rate24.8%

21.5%Free Throw Rate32.7%

46.2%3-Point Rate45.5%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.