New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.7%New Mexico State

87.3%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.1

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -687

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 70

Projected Total153.1

Projected ScoreKentucky 83

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricKentucky

51.2MMH Power Index63.9

108.9Offensive Efficiency115.2

104.5Defensive Efficiency106.3

4.4Net Efficiency8.9

-0.7Strength of Schedule8.7

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

68.9Tempo69.9

48.6%Effective FG%53.2%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

37.0%Free Throw Rate38.0%

3.1Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–51.2), offensive efficiency (115.2–108.9), net efficiency (8.9–4.4), strength of schedule (8.7–-0.7).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.5–106.3), ball security (15.2–15.4).

Final

New Mexico State

46—86

Kentucky

Kentucky by 40 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATKentucky

18-56FG32-65

32.1%FG%49.2%

5-233PT9-29

21.7%3PT%31.0%

5-5FT13-19

100.0%FT%68.4%

33Rebounds43

6Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists17

18Turnovers6

2Steals13

2Blocks3

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Cook	Guard	33	3-12	2-7	2-2	4	0	1	0	10
Jaylin Jackson-Posey	Guard	32	4-8	2-4	0-0	8	6	0	0	10
Robert Carpenter	Forward	23	3-10	0-4	3-3	3	1	0	1	9
Clarence Jackson	Forward	20	3-10	0-3	0-0	6	2	1	0	6
Kaosi Ezeagu	Forward	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Jordan Rawls	Guard	25	1-6	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jaden Harris	G	31	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Jonathan Kanyanga	Forward	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Dillingham	Guard	19	6-11	2-6	3-3	5	3	2	0	17
DJ Wagner	G	27	6-13	1-5	0-1	2	4	3	0	13
Justin Edwards	Forward	28	5-11	2-5	0-0	5	1	2	0	12
Reed Sheppard	Guard	21	4-6	1-2	3-3	5	2	2	2	12
Antonio Reeves	Guard	35	4-10	2-6	1-2	2	1	2	0	11
Tre Mitchell	Center	35	3-8	0-3	3-4	9	5	1	0	9
Jordan Burks	F	11	3-3	1-1	0-1	3	0	1	0	7
Adou Thiero	Forward	20	1-3	0-1	3-5	7	0	0	1	5
Brennan Canada	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Walker Horn	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joey Hart	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kareem Watkins	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

66.0Offensive Efficiency123.4

123.4Defensive Efficiency66.0

-57.4Net Efficiency57.4

36.6%Effective FG%56.2%

39.4%True Shooting %58.1%

25.6%Turnover Rate8.7%

8.9%Free Throw Rate29.2%

41.1%3-Point Rate44.6%

0.56Assist / Turnover2.83

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 40 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.