Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.4%Cal State Fullerton

84.6%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -12.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.1

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -549

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 74

Projected Total160.1

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 86

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricSan Diego State

49.4MMH Power Index60.1

108.8Offensive Efficiency110.3

107.1Defensive Efficiency99.3

1.7Net Efficiency11.0

-1.2Strength of Schedule3.8

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

76.3Tempo70.8

52.6%Effective FG%53.2%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

39.6%Free Throw Rate39.6%

1.3Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–49.4), offensive efficiency (110.3–108.8), defensive efficiency (99.3–107.1), net efficiency (11.0–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.7–0.4), ball security (15.1–17.2).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

57—83

San Diego State

San Diego State by 26 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATSan Diego State

20-61FG28-62

32.8%FG%45.2%

5-243PT9-31

20.8%3PT%29.0%

12-18FT18-28

66.7%FT%64.3%

42Rebounds42

13Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists19

18Turnovers14

7Steals12

2Blocks5

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	34	4-15	1-5	4-6	2	6	4	0	13
Max Jones	Guard	29	4-18	3-9	0-0	8	1	1	0	11
Donovan Oday	G	21	3-9	0-2	4-6	2	0	2	0	10
Grayson Carper	Guard	23	2-5	1-4	0-0	9	0	0	1	5
Beril Kabamba	Forward	24	1-3	0-0	1-3	4	1	0	0	3
Jalen Cooper	F	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Kendrick De Luna	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
John Mikey Square	Not Available	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Antwan Robinson	Guard	14	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Trevor Williams	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sydney Shipp	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	34	8-12	1-3	10-15	10	1	1	1	27
Micah Parrish	Guard	21	6-8	5-6	0-2	6	3	4	0	17
Reese Waters	Guard	34	5-13	2-5	3-3	3	3	2	0	15
Elijah Saunders	F	18	4-8	1-4	0-0	5	1	2	0	9
Lamont Butler	Guard	28	3-9	0-3	2-2	4	7	1	1	8
Jay Pal	Forward	12	1-3	0-2	1-1	1	1	0	2	3
Miles Heide	F	9	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	3
Miles Byrd	G	19	0-3	0-3	1-2	3	2	1	1	1
BJ Davis	G	14	0-4	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	0	0
Ryan Schwarz	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cam Lawin	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

74.6Offensive Efficiency108.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency74.6

-34.0Net Efficiency34.0

36.9%Effective FG%52.4%

41.0%True Shooting %55.1%

24.1%Turnover Rate17.9%

29.5%Free Throw Rate45.2%

39.3%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.