American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.7%American University

85.3%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -580

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 69

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreVillanova 80

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricVillanova

48.2MMH Power Index59.4

110.6Offensive Efficiency114.7

105.8Defensive Efficiency105.9

4.8Net Efficiency8.8

-4.3Strength of Schedule4.4

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

67.5Tempo67.3

52.6%Effective FG%53.9%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

30.1%Free Throw Rate31.4%

3.3Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–48.2), offensive efficiency (114.7–110.6), net efficiency (8.8–4.8), strength of schedule (4.4–-4.3).

American University COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.8–105.9), recent form (2.2–-1.1).

Final

American University

63—90

Villanova

Villanova by 27 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATVillanova

21-62FG32-59

33.9%FG%54.2%

9-303PT10-27

30.0%3PT%37.0%

12-16FT16-19

75.0%FT%84.2%

31Rebounds41

12Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists19

11Turnovers7

6Steals5

2Blocks2

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colin Smalls	Guard	21	5-8	3-5	3-3	2	0	0	0	16
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	19	5-7	0-0	3-5	1	0	0	0	13
Elijah Stephens	Guard	29	2-9	2-7	2-2	2	4	0	0	8
Matt Rogers	Forward	20	3-11	1-5	1-2	1	3	1	0	8
Geoff Sprouse	G	23	2-6	1-5	2-2	5	0	2	0	7
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	22	2-11	0-3	0-0	8	3	0	0	4
Lincoln Ball	Guard	28	1-7	1-4	0-0	4	3	0	1	3
Matt Mayock	F	22	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Greg Jones	F	14	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	1	2	1	1

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	27	6-10	1-4	2-2	6	4	0	0	15
Tyler Burton	Forward	20	5-9	2-5	3-5	7	0	0	0	15
TJ Bamba	Guard	21	4-6	3-3	2-2	5	3	0	0	13
Hakim Hart	Guard	22	4-6	1-1	2-2	6	3	1	0	11
Justin Moore	Guard	27	5-11	0-4	0-0	3	2	0	1	10
Jordan Longino	Guard	20	2-5	1-3	4-4	3	4	2	0	9
Mark Armstrong	Guard	20	2-5	0-2	2-2	0	1	1	0	6
Brendan Hausen	G	20	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Nnanna Njoku	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Lance Ware	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Chris Arcidiacono	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

94.3Offensive Efficiency134.7

134.7Defensive Efficiency94.3

-40.4Net Efficiency40.4

41.1%Effective FG%62.7%

45.3%True Shooting %66.2%

16.0%Turnover Rate10.8%

25.8%Free Throw Rate32.2%

48.4%3-Point Rate45.8%

1.36Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

Villanova won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.