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Record vs. Sportsbook

Saved MMH pregame predictions measured against BALLDONTLIE sportsbook lines.

Caesars · 2026-11-04 · Opening lines · 10 matched games from 10 verified final predictions.

Uses historical opening lines from the selected sportsbook, recorded before scheduled tip-off. These are not verified closing lines. Games without a timestamped pregame line are excluded.

Against the Spread

5–5–0 W–L–P · 50.0% · 0 passes

Model vs. line differenceWinsLossesPushesPassesWin %
Under 3 points420066.7%
3–5.9 points01000.0%
6–9.9 points1000100.0%
10+ points02000.0%

Over / Under

6–3–0 W–L–P · 66.7% · 0 passes

Model vs. line differenceWinsLossesPushesPassesWin %
Under 3 points320060.0%
3–5.9 points310075.0%
6–9.9 points0000—
10+ points0000—

Groups measure the absolute point difference between MMH and the sportsbook, not calibrated confidence. A zero difference is a pass. Pushes and passes are excluded from win percentage. This is a retrospective comparison, not a record of bets placed.

Game-by-game results and line timestamps
Matchup (away first)MMH away marginBook away spreadATS side / differenceATSMMH total / book totalTotal side / resultLine updated (UTC)
Maryland Eastern Shore at High Point
49–63
-28.9+30.5Maryland Eastern Shore · 1.6 ptsWIN149.6 / 150.5Under · WIN2026-11-03T23:57:02.806Z
Longwood at Saint Joseph's
73–82
-9.7+10.0Longwood · 0.3 ptsWIN151.6 / 149.5Over · WIN2026-11-03T23:57:02.807Z
Fairleigh Dickinson at Butler
65–99
-12.1+24.5Fairleigh Dickinson · 12.4 ptsLOSS149.9 / 150.5Under · LOSS2026-11-03T23:57:02.805Z
Cal State Northridge at Wichita State
67–79
-14.8+15.5Cal State Northridge · 0.7 ptsWIN155.5 / 160.5Under · WIN2026-11-03T19:40:02.319Z
Northern Kentucky at South Dakota
102–94
+0.4-2.0South Dakota · 1.6 ptsLOSS157.0 / 157.5Under · LOSS2026-11-03T19:40:02.319Z
SE Louisiana at Auburn
59–92
-11.4+26.5SE Louisiana · 15.1 ptsLOSS148.7 / 151.5Under · WIN2026-11-03T23:57:02.809Z
Radford at California
70–84
-9.3+16.5Radford · 7.2 ptsWIN154.2 / 157.5Under · WIN2026-11-03T23:57:02.811Z
Milwaukee at Santa Clara
72–95
-20.6+18.5Santa Clara · 2.1 ptsWIN154.4 / 158.5Under · LOSS2026-11-03T19:40:02.320Z
Queens University at Loyola Marymount
96–95
-5.7+5.5Loyola Marymount · 0.2 ptsLOSS156.5 / ——2026-11-03T23:39:02.753Z
North Dakota State at Saint Mary's
64–105
-8.4+12.0North Dakota State · 3.6 ptsLOSS150.8 / 146Over · WIN2026-11-03T19:40:02.321Z