METHODOLOGY

How MMH Ratings Work

Every proprietary MMH score is designed to be explainable and tunable. These are working version-one weights that can be backtested and refined.

Game predictions: Model V1.1

The projected margin determines the pick, win probability, and projected score. Win probability uses a historical margin conversion; the spread and total retain their existing formulas.

Preseason ratings incorporate published MMH conference orders where available. Remaining teams use fallback ratings. Those editorial seeds are not player-level roster ratings, and historical calibration does not establish opening-day accuracy.

Power Index

net efficiency24%
strength of schedule24%
average margin19%
recent 10 net15%
offensive rebound rate6%
turnover rate6%
efg4%
free throw rate2%

Top Upset

market surprise45%
model surprise35%
opponent quality10%
venue5%
game importance5%