Mid-Major College Basketball, All in One PlaceAdvanced Stats • Rankings • Daily Intelligence
MM
MID-MAJOR HOOPS
The rest of college basketball starts here.
THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

← Previous DayFebruary 22, 2026Next Day →
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Pacific at Gonzaga • FINAL18-15 • 31-4Final Score: Pacific 62-71 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 97.1%Pacific 2.9%
62-85147.1Gonzaga -22.7
Illinois at UCLA • FINAL28-9 • 24-12Final Score: Illinois 94-95 UCLA
Illinois 73.0%UCLA 27.0%
79-73152.0Illinois -5.6
Kentucky at Auburn • FINAL22-14 • 21-16Final Score: Kentucky 74-75 Auburn
Auburn 63.8%Kentucky 36.2%
79-83162.4Auburn -3.4
Iowa State at BYU • FINAL28-8 • 23-12Final Score: Iowa State 69-79 BYU
Iowa State 69.6%BYU 30.4%
80-76155.8Iowa State -4.3
Ohio State at Michigan State • FINAL21-13 • 27-8Final Score: Ohio State 60-66 Michigan State
Michigan State 75.0%Ohio State 25.0%
72-80151.4Michigan State -8.4
Iowa at Wisconsin • FINAL24-13 • 24-11Final Score: Iowa 71-84 Wisconsin
Wisconsin 63.2%Iowa 36.8%
74-78151.8Wisconsin -4.2
Texas Southern at Mississippi Valley State • FINAL12-17 • 3-30Final Score: Texas Southern 71-72 Mississippi Valley State
Texas Southern 88.7%Mississippi Valley State 11.3%
81-68148.6Texas Southern -12.8
Illinois State at Bradley • FINAL23-13 • 21-13Final Score: Illinois State 60-74 Bradley
Bradley 62.7%Illinois State 37.3%
72-76148.2Bradley -3.3
Vermont at NJIT • FINAL22-12 • 16-17Final Score: Vermont 70-64 NJIT
Vermont 75.4%NJIT 24.6%
74-67141.0Vermont -6.1
American University at Lafayette • FINAL16-16 • 11-21Final Score: American University 75-61 Lafayette
American University 61.0%Lafayette 39.0%
74-72145.8American University -2.6
New Haven at Fairleigh Dickinson • FINAL14-17 • 11-21Final Score: New Haven 84-77 Fairleigh Dickinson
Fairleigh Dickinson 59.8%New Haven 40.2%
65-68132.4Fairleigh Dickinson -3.3
Pepperdine at Oregon State • FINAL9-23 • 17-16Final Score: Pepperdine 73-83 Oregon State
Oregon State 84.0%Pepperdine 16.0%
70-81150.1Oregon State -10.9
North Carolina A&T at Elon • FINAL11-19 • 14-18Final Score: North Carolina A&T 102-82 Elon
Elon 71.5%North Carolina A&T 28.5%
75-82157.6Elon -7.0
Furman at Wofford • FINAL22-13 • 19-13Final Score: Furman 76-67 Wofford
Furman 52.6%Wofford 47.4%
77-77153.8Furman -0.2
New Orleans at Lamar • FINAL16-18 • 12-19Final Score: New Orleans 77-71 Lamar
Lamar 54.4%New Orleans 45.6%
72-75147.2Lamar -3.4
Eastern Kentucky at Bellarmine • FINAL11-21 • 13-19Final Score: Eastern Kentucky 95-92 Bellarmine
Bellarmine 61.9%Eastern Kentucky 38.1%
82-85167.1Bellarmine -3.4
Austin Peay at Jacksonville • FINAL22-9 • 12-20Final Score: Austin Peay 65-61 Jacksonville
Austin Peay 67.7%Jacksonville 32.3%
79-74152.9Austin Peay -4.2
Boston University at Lehigh • FINAL16-18 • 18-17Final Score: Boston University 67-70 Lehigh
Boston University 52.3%Lehigh 47.7%
74-75149.7Lehigh -0.9
Indiana State at Belmont • FINAL11-21 • 26-6Final Score: Indiana State 70-87 Belmont
Belmont 92.0%Indiana State 8.0%
69-86155.3Belmont -16.3
New Mexico at Fresno State • FINAL26-11 • 13-19Final Score: New Mexico 80-78 Fresno State
New Mexico 79.3%Fresno State 20.7%
79-71150.5New Mexico -7.7
Wyoming at Grand Canyon • FINAL18-15 • 20-12Final Score: Wyoming 70-65 Grand Canyon
Grand Canyon 71.5%Wyoming 28.5%
71-78148.5Grand Canyon -7.0
Providence at DePaul • FINAL15-18 • 16-16Final Score: Providence 71-68 DePaul
Providence 53.4%DePaul 46.6%
78-79157.2DePaul -1.1
South Dakota at Oral Roberts • FINAL16-16 • 10-23Final Score: South Dakota 62-67 Oral Roberts
Oral Roberts 57.1%South Dakota 42.9%
78-80158.6Oral Roberts -2.4
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at McNeese • FINAL18-15 • 27-6Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 54-70 McNeese
McNeese 92.5%Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 7.5%
63-79141.2McNeese -15.9
Northern Arizona at Northern Colorado • FINAL10-22 • 20-12Final Score: Northern Arizona 77-78 Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado 91.5%Northern Arizona 8.5%
70-86156.2Northern Colorado -15.9
Texas A&M at Oklahoma • FINAL20-12 • 21-16Final Score: Texas A&M 75-71 Oklahoma
Oklahoma 72.4%Texas A&M 27.6%
78-84161.7Oklahoma -5.9
UCF at Utah • FINAL21-12 • 10-22Final Score: UCF 73-71 Utah
UCF 72.3%Utah 27.7%
82-77159.7UCF -5.1
Cal State Northridge at Long Beach State • FINAL20-14 • 10-22Final Score: Cal State Northridge 78-76 Long Beach State
Cal State Northridge 61.8%Long Beach State 38.2%
81-79160.8Cal State Northridge -2.0
Montana at Weber State • FINAL18-16 • 16-16Final Score: Montana 72-92 Weber State
Weber State 74.0%Montana 26.0%
76-83158.6Weber State -6.9
UTEP at New Mexico State • FINAL11-20 • 16-16Final Score: UTEP 63-67 New Mexico State
New Mexico State 78.0%UTEP 22.0%
68-77145.0New Mexico State -9.4
Cal State Fullerton at Cal State Bakersfield • FINAL18-16 • 8-24Final Score: Cal State Fullerton 88-80 Cal State Bakersfield
Cal State Fullerton 80.3%Cal State Bakersfield 19.7%
86-78164.5Cal State Fullerton -7.9
Utah State at Nevada • FINAL29-7 • 24-13Final Score: Utah State 77-80 Nevada
Utah State 53.7%Nevada 46.3%
77-76152.3Utah State -1.0
Santa Clara at San Francisco • FINAL26-9 • 17-16Final Score: Santa Clara 94-73 San Francisco
Santa Clara 75.8%San Francisco 24.2%
80-74154.2Santa Clara -6.5
Saint Mary's at Washington State • FINAL27-6 • 12-20Final Score: Saint Mary's 83-67 Washington State
Saint Mary's 87.5%Washington State 12.5%
80-69149.2Saint Mary's -11.6
Portland at Seattle U • FINAL15-19 • 21-14Final Score: Portland 59-71 Seattle U
Seattle U 81.4%Portland 18.6%
68-79147.1Seattle U -11.3
UC San Diego at UC Irvine • FINAL23-11 • 23-12Final Score: UC San Diego 71-69 UC Irvine
UC Irvine 74.4%UC San Diego 25.6%
70-77147.0UC Irvine -7.9
Idaho at Sacramento State • FINAL21-15 • 10-21Final Score: Idaho 86-80 Sacramento State
Idaho 65.2%Sacramento State 34.8%
81-77158.3Idaho -3.9
UC Santa Barbara at Hawai'i • FINAL18-14 • 24-9Final Score: UC Santa Barbara 75-78 Hawai'i
Hawai'i 69.9%UC Santa Barbara 30.1%
73-80152.5Hawai'i -7.2
UAB at Memphis • FINAL20-12 • 13-19Final Score: UAB 78-67 Memphis
UAB 62.4%Memphis 37.6%
79-76155.0UAB -2.2
Iona at Merrimack • FINAL18-14 • 23-11Final Score: Iona 86-88 Merrimack
Merrimack 78.0%Iona 22.0%
66-74140.8Merrimack -8.1
Green Bay at Detroit Mercy • FINAL18-15 • 17-15Final Score: Green Bay 70-74 Detroit Mercy
Detroit Mercy 55.7%Green Bay 44.3%
76-79154.7Detroit Mercy -2.9
Rice at Tulane • FINAL13-18 • 18-15Final Score: Rice 75-81 Tulane
Tulane 60.3%Rice 39.7%
73-76149.8Tulane -3.1
Fairfield at Quinnipiac • FINAL21-13 • 19-13Final Score: Fairfield 85-79 Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac 64.8%Fairfield 35.2%
71-76147.7Quinnipiac -4.9
Northern Kentucky at Youngstown State • FINAL20-14 • 14-17Final Score: Northern Kentucky 58-64 Youngstown State
Northern Kentucky 57.3%Youngstown State 42.7%
78-78155.9Northern Kentucky -0.7
Robert Morris at Wright State • FINAL22-11 • 23-12Final Score: Robert Morris 81-68 Wright State
Wright State 64.5%Robert Morris 35.5%
75-80154.3Wright State -4.9
Purdue Fort Wayne at Cleveland State • FINAL17-15 • 11-22Final Score: Purdue Fort Wayne 92-86 Cleveland State
Purdue Fort Wayne 54.3%Cleveland State 45.7%
83-82165.0Purdue Fort Wayne -1.2
Saint Peter's at Siena • FINAL17-12 • 23-12Final Score: Saint Peter's 63-72 Siena
Siena 77.0%Saint Peter's 23.0%
64-72136.7Siena -8.1
Niagara at Rider • FINAL8-22 • 4-25Final Score: Niagara 62-67 Rider
Niagara 55.9%Rider 44.1%
69-68136.2Niagara -0.9
Canisius at Mount St. Mary's • FINAL10-21 • 15-17Final Score: Canisius 47-68 Mount St. Mary's
Mount St. Mary's 81.4%Canisius 18.6%
62-72134.3Mount St. Mary's -9.9
Sacred Heart at Marist • FINAL14-19 • 19-12Final Score: Sacred Heart 63-65 Marist
Marist 82.6%Sacred Heart 17.4%
66-77142.7Marist -11.5
Towson at Drexel • FINAL19-15 • 17-16Final Score: Towson 62-68 Drexel
Towson 58.1%Drexel 41.9%
67-67133.8Towson -0.6
Milwaukee at Oakland • FINAL12-20 • 16-16Final Score: Milwaukee 70-81 Oakland
Oakland 79.3%Milwaukee 20.7%
78-87164.6Oakland -9.3
UTSA at Tulsa • FINAL5-25 • 30-8Final Score: UTSA 74-100 Tulsa
Tulsa 98.7%UTSA 1.3%
64-93157.5Tulsa -28.7
Florida Atlantic at North Texas • FINAL18-15 • 19-14Final Score: Florida Atlantic 72-73 North Texas
North Texas 64.0%Florida Atlantic 36.0%
71-75146.5North Texas -4.2
Holy Cross at Bucknell • FINAL11-22 • 10-23Final Score: Holy Cross 72-63 Bucknell
Bucknell 56.6%Holy Cross 43.4%
70-73142.9Bucknell -2.3
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.