#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Louisville at North Carolina • FINAL24-11 • 24-9Final Score: Louisville 74-77 North Carolina
North Carolina 57.4%Louisville 42.6%
78-80157.0North Carolina -2.0Houston at Kansas • FINAL29-7 • 24-11Final Score: Houston 56-69 Kansas
Houston 74.1%Kansas 25.9%
74-68142.0Houston -5.2Mississippi Valley State at Grambling • FINAL3-30 • 14-19Final Score: Mississippi Valley State 62-83 Grambling
Grambling 95.9%Mississippi Valley State 4.1%
61-83144.4Grambling -22.2Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at SE Louisiana • FINAL18-15 • 9-21Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 73-68 SE Louisiana
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 64.7%SE Louisiana 35.3%
69-65133.9Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -3.4Nicholls at Lamar • FINAL14-19 • 12-19Final Score: Nicholls 53-52 Lamar
Lamar 63.8%Nicholls 36.2%
69-74143.4Lamar -5.4New Orleans at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL16-18 • 28-6Final Score: New Orleans 77-73 Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin 87.6%New Orleans 12.4%
68-82149.8Stephen F. Austin -14.3Incarnate Word at Northwestern State • FINAL12-19 • 10-21Final Score: Incarnate Word 49-54 Northwestern State
Northwestern State 53.5%Incarnate Word 46.5%
70-72141.6Northwestern State -1.5UT Rio Grande Valley at McNeese • FINAL19-14 • 27-6Final Score: UT Rio Grande Valley 68-75 McNeese
McNeese 84.9%UT Rio Grande Valley 15.1%
66-78144.4McNeese -11.6Houston Christian at East Texas A&M • FINAL12-20 • 11-21Final Score: Houston Christian 69-68 East Texas A&M
East Texas A&M 59.5%Houston Christian 40.5%
69-73142.0East Texas A&M -3.7George Washington at La Salle • FINAL19-16 • 9-23Final Score: George Washington 104-77 La Salle
George Washington 82.5%La Salle 17.5%
80-70149.8George Washington -9.5Washington at Rutgers • FINAL16-17 • 13-20Final Score: Washington 79-72 Rutgers
Washington 67.7%Rutgers 32.3%
77-73149.8Washington -4.5Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan • FINAL32-2 • 10-21Final Score: Miami (OH) 74-64 Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH) 80.5%Eastern Michigan 19.5%
83-74157.6Miami (OH) -9.1Saint Francis at New Haven • FINAL7-24 • 14-17Final Score: Saint Francis 73-67 New Haven
New Haven 77.6%Saint Francis 22.4%
66-76141.6New Haven -9.7THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.