THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Louisville at North Carolina • FINAL24-11 • 24-9Final Score: Louisville 74-77 North Carolina
North Carolina 57.4%Louisville 42.6%
78-80157.0North Carolina -2.0
Houston at Kansas • FINAL29-7 • 24-11Final Score: Houston 56-69 Kansas
Houston 74.1%Kansas 25.9%
74-68142.0Houston -5.2
Mississippi Valley State at Grambling • FINAL3-30 • 14-19Final Score: Mississippi Valley State 62-83 Grambling
Grambling 95.9%Mississippi Valley State 4.1%
61-83144.4Grambling -22.2
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at SE Louisiana • FINAL18-15 • 9-21Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 73-68 SE Louisiana
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 64.7%SE Louisiana 35.3%
69-65133.9Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -3.4
Nicholls at Lamar • FINAL14-19 • 12-19Final Score: Nicholls 53-52 Lamar
Lamar 63.8%Nicholls 36.2%
69-74143.4Lamar -5.4
New Orleans at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL16-18 • 28-6Final Score: New Orleans 77-73 Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin 87.6%New Orleans 12.4%
68-82149.8Stephen F. Austin -14.3
Incarnate Word at Northwestern State • FINAL12-19 • 10-21Final Score: Incarnate Word 49-54 Northwestern State
Northwestern State 53.5%Incarnate Word 46.5%
70-72141.6Northwestern State -1.5
UT Rio Grande Valley at McNeese • FINAL19-14 • 27-6Final Score: UT Rio Grande Valley 68-75 McNeese
McNeese 84.9%UT Rio Grande Valley 15.1%
66-78144.4McNeese -11.6
Houston Christian at East Texas A&M • FINAL12-20 • 11-21Final Score: Houston Christian 69-68 East Texas A&M
East Texas A&M 59.5%Houston Christian 40.5%
69-73142.0East Texas A&M -3.7
George Washington at La Salle • FINAL19-16 • 9-23Final Score: George Washington 104-77 La Salle
George Washington 82.5%La Salle 17.5%
80-70149.8George Washington -9.5
Washington at Rutgers • FINAL16-17 • 13-20Final Score: Washington 79-72 Rutgers
Washington 67.7%Rutgers 32.3%
77-73149.8Washington -4.5
Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan • FINAL32-2 • 10-21Final Score: Miami (OH) 74-64 Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH) 80.5%Eastern Michigan 19.5%
83-74157.6Miami (OH) -9.1
Saint Francis at New Haven • FINAL7-24 • 14-17Final Score: Saint Francis 73-67 New Haven
New Haven 77.6%Saint Francis 22.4%
66-76141.6New Haven -9.7
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.