#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Duke at NC State • FINAL35-3 • 20-14Final Score: Duke 93-64 NC State
Duke 87.0%NC State 13.0%
83-72154.8Duke -10.4Iowa State at Arizona • FINAL28-8 • 36-3Final Score: Iowa State 57-73 Arizona
Arizona 72.2%Iowa State 27.8%
73-80153.7Arizona -6.9Tennessee at South Carolina • FINAL25-12 • 13-19Final Score: Tennessee 78-59 South Carolina
Tennessee 85.4%South Carolina 14.6%
81-71151.9Tennessee -10.2Alabama at Georgia • FINAL24-10 • 22-11Final Score: Alabama 88-98 Georgia
Alabama 52.3%Georgia 47.7%
89-90178.9Georgia -1.8Stephen F. Austin at Incarnate Word • FINAL28-6 • 12-19Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 76-68 Incarnate Word
Stephen F. Austin 77.2%Incarnate Word 22.8%
77-70146.5Stephen F. Austin -7.0South Carolina State at Delaware State • FINAL10-22 • 8-22Final Score: South Carolina State 61-59 Delaware State
Delaware State 55.7%South Carolina State 44.3%
66-70135.5Delaware State -4.0North Carolina Central at Maryland Eastern Shore • FINAL14-18 • 9-23Final Score: North Carolina Central 77-73 Maryland Eastern Shore
Maryland Eastern Shore 53.5%North Carolina Central 46.5%
70-72141.1Maryland Eastern Shore -2.1Coppin State at Howard • FINAL7-24 • 24-11Final Score: Coppin State 70-90 Howard
Howard 98.0%Coppin State 2.0%
60-87147.6Howard -26.6Lamar at Houston Christian • FINAL12-19 • 12-20Final Score: Lamar 53-75 Houston Christian
Lamar 50.1%Houston Christian 49.9%
69-69138.5Lamar -0.1Northwestern State at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL10-21 • 19-14Final Score: Northwestern State 62-74 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 89.3%Northwestern State 10.7%
63-77140.1UT Rio Grande Valley -14.4McNeese at Nicholls • FINAL27-6 • 14-19Final Score: McNeese 75-65 Nicholls
McNeese 88.7%Nicholls 11.3%
79-67145.5McNeese -12.2SE Louisiana at New Orleans • FINAL9-21 • 16-18Final Score: SE Louisiana 82-78 New Orleans
New Orleans 80.9%SE Louisiana 19.1%
66-76141.9New Orleans -9.1East Texas A&M at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi • FINAL11-21 • 18-15Final Score: East Texas A&M 71-84 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 84.0%East Texas A&M 16.0%
65-77142.5Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -11.8Montana State at Northern Arizona • FINAL18-14 • 10-22Final Score: Montana State 76-65 Northern Arizona
Montana State 79.4%Northern Arizona 20.6%
79-71150.2Montana State -7.9Montana at Northern Colorado • FINAL18-16 • 20-12Final Score: Montana 57-85 Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado 80.7%Montana 19.3%
75-84158.8Northern Colorado -9.2Idaho at Eastern Washington • FINAL21-15 • 14-19Final Score: Idaho 85-81 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 60.1%Idaho 39.9%
77-79156.7Eastern Washington -2.0Weber State at Portland State • FINAL16-16 • 20-11Final Score: Weber State 60-84 Portland State
Portland State 62.5%Weber State 37.5%
75-80155.3Portland State -4.8Idaho State at Sacramento State • FINAL13-20 • 10-21Final Score: Idaho State 65-83 Sacramento State
Sacramento State 54.6%Idaho State 45.4%
78-80158.5Sacramento State -1.7UMass Lowell at Maine • FINAL15-18 • 8-24Final Score: UMass Lowell 67-56 Maine
UMass Lowell 60.0%Maine 40.0%
71-70140.6UMass Lowell -1.2UMBC at NJIT • FINAL24-8 • 16-17Final Score: UMBC 91-52 NJIT
UMBC 85.6%NJIT 14.4%
75-64139.0UMBC -10.3Bryant at New Hampshire • FINAL9-22 • 9-21Final Score: Bryant 83-88 New Hampshire
New Hampshire 62.2%Bryant 37.8%
68-72140.3New Hampshire -4.4Eastern Michigan at Buffalo • FINAL10-21 • 17-15Final Score: Eastern Michigan 67-72 Buffalo
Buffalo 77.0%Eastern Michigan 23.0%
71-80151.1Buffalo -8.2Towson at Stony Brook • FINAL19-15 • 17-15Final Score: Towson 69-57 Stony Brook
Towson 57.8%Stony Brook 42.2%
70-69138.4Towson -0.6IU Indianapolis at Cleveland State • FINAL7-25 • 11-22Final Score: IU Indianapolis 93-101 Cleveland State
Cleveland State 57.4%IU Indianapolis 42.6%
86-89175.5Cleveland State -2.6Georgia State at Louisiana • FINAL10-22 • 11-22Final Score: Georgia State 75-84 Louisiana
Louisiana 61.7%Georgia State 38.3%
68-71139.2Louisiana -3.5THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.