THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Duke at NC State • FINAL35-3 • 20-14Final Score: Duke 93-64 NC State
Duke 87.0%NC State 13.0%
83-72154.8Duke -10.4
Iowa State at Arizona • FINAL28-8 • 36-3Final Score: Iowa State 57-73 Arizona
Arizona 72.2%Iowa State 27.8%
73-80153.7Arizona -6.9
Tennessee at South Carolina • FINAL25-12 • 13-19Final Score: Tennessee 78-59 South Carolina
Tennessee 85.4%South Carolina 14.6%
81-71151.9Tennessee -10.2
Alabama at Georgia • FINAL24-10 • 22-11Final Score: Alabama 88-98 Georgia
Alabama 52.3%Georgia 47.7%
89-90178.9Georgia -1.8
Stephen F. Austin at Incarnate Word • FINAL28-6 • 12-19Final Score: Stephen F. Austin 76-68 Incarnate Word
Stephen F. Austin 77.2%Incarnate Word 22.8%
77-70146.5Stephen F. Austin -7.0
South Carolina State at Delaware State • FINAL10-22 • 8-22Final Score: South Carolina State 61-59 Delaware State
Delaware State 55.7%South Carolina State 44.3%
66-70135.5Delaware State -4.0
North Carolina Central at Maryland Eastern Shore • FINAL14-18 • 9-23Final Score: North Carolina Central 77-73 Maryland Eastern Shore
Maryland Eastern Shore 53.5%North Carolina Central 46.5%
70-72141.1Maryland Eastern Shore -2.1
Coppin State at Howard • FINAL7-24 • 24-11Final Score: Coppin State 70-90 Howard
Howard 98.0%Coppin State 2.0%
60-87147.6Howard -26.6
Lamar at Houston Christian • FINAL12-19 • 12-20Final Score: Lamar 53-75 Houston Christian
Lamar 50.1%Houston Christian 49.9%
69-69138.5Lamar -0.1
Northwestern State at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL10-21 • 19-14Final Score: Northwestern State 62-74 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 89.3%Northwestern State 10.7%
63-77140.1UT Rio Grande Valley -14.4
McNeese at Nicholls • FINAL27-6 • 14-19Final Score: McNeese 75-65 Nicholls
McNeese 88.7%Nicholls 11.3%
79-67145.5McNeese -12.2
SE Louisiana at New Orleans • FINAL9-21 • 16-18Final Score: SE Louisiana 82-78 New Orleans
New Orleans 80.9%SE Louisiana 19.1%
66-76141.9New Orleans -9.1
East Texas A&M at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi • FINAL11-21 • 18-15Final Score: East Texas A&M 71-84 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 84.0%East Texas A&M 16.0%
65-77142.5Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -11.8
Montana State at Northern Arizona • FINAL18-14 • 10-22Final Score: Montana State 76-65 Northern Arizona
Montana State 79.4%Northern Arizona 20.6%
79-71150.2Montana State -7.9
Montana at Northern Colorado • FINAL18-16 • 20-12Final Score: Montana 57-85 Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado 80.7%Montana 19.3%
75-84158.8Northern Colorado -9.2
Idaho at Eastern Washington • FINAL21-15 • 14-19Final Score: Idaho 85-81 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 60.1%Idaho 39.9%
77-79156.7Eastern Washington -2.0
Weber State at Portland State • FINAL16-16 • 20-11Final Score: Weber State 60-84 Portland State
Portland State 62.5%Weber State 37.5%
75-80155.3Portland State -4.8
Idaho State at Sacramento State • FINAL13-20 • 10-21Final Score: Idaho State 65-83 Sacramento State
Sacramento State 54.6%Idaho State 45.4%
78-80158.5Sacramento State -1.7
UMass Lowell at Maine • FINAL15-18 • 8-24Final Score: UMass Lowell 67-56 Maine
UMass Lowell 60.0%Maine 40.0%
71-70140.6UMass Lowell -1.2
UMBC at NJIT • FINAL24-8 • 16-17Final Score: UMBC 91-52 NJIT
UMBC 85.6%NJIT 14.4%
75-64139.0UMBC -10.3
Bryant at New Hampshire • FINAL9-22 • 9-21Final Score: Bryant 83-88 New Hampshire
New Hampshire 62.2%Bryant 37.8%
68-72140.3New Hampshire -4.4
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo • FINAL10-21 • 17-15Final Score: Eastern Michigan 67-72 Buffalo
Buffalo 77.0%Eastern Michigan 23.0%
71-80151.1Buffalo -8.2
Towson at Stony Brook • FINAL19-15 • 17-15Final Score: Towson 69-57 Stony Brook
Towson 57.8%Stony Brook 42.2%
70-69138.4Towson -0.6
IU Indianapolis at Cleveland State • FINAL7-25 • 11-22Final Score: IU Indianapolis 93-101 Cleveland State
Cleveland State 57.4%IU Indianapolis 42.6%
86-89175.5Cleveland State -2.6
Georgia State at Louisiana • FINAL10-22 • 11-22Final Score: Georgia State 75-84 Louisiana
Louisiana 61.7%Georgia State 38.3%
68-71139.2Louisiana -3.5
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.