#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Georgetown at St. John's • FINAL13-18 • 30-6Final Score: Georgetown 69-72 St. John's
St. John's 93.1%Georgetown 6.9%
62-79141.3St. John's -17.6Oregon at Illinois • FINAL12-19 • 28-9Final Score: Oregon 54-80 Illinois
Illinois 97.3%Oregon 2.7%
63-87149.9Illinois -23.5Clemson at North Carolina • FINAL24-10 • 24-9Final Score: Clemson 63-67 North Carolina
North Carolina 75.0%Clemson 25.0%
68-76144.1North Carolina -7.4BYU at Cincinnati • FINAL23-12 • 18-15Final Score: BYU 68-90 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 56.0%BYU 44.0%
75-77151.6Cincinnati -2.1Kentucky at Texas A&M • FINAL22-14 • 20-12Final Score: Kentucky 85-96 Texas A&M
Kentucky 53.7%Texas A&M 46.3%
79-79158.2Texas A&M -0.4TCU at Texas Tech • FINAL23-12 • 23-11Final Score: TCU 73-65 Texas Tech
Texas Tech 76.7%TCU 23.3%
73-81153.8Texas Tech -8.1Mississippi State at Florida • FINAL13-19 • 27-8Final Score: Mississippi State 74-108 Florida
Florida 98.8%Mississippi State 1.2%
67-96163.2Florida -28.7Syracuse at Louisville • FINAL15-16 • 24-11Final Score: Syracuse 62-77 Louisville
Louisville 89.7%Syracuse 10.3%
70-85155.5Louisville -14.9Kansas at Arizona State • FINAL24-11 • 17-16Final Score: Kansas 60-70 Arizona State
Kansas 67.2%Arizona State 32.8%
78-73151.2Kansas -4.4LSU at Auburn • FINAL15-17 • 21-16Final Score: LSU 74-88 Auburn
Auburn 83.8%LSU 16.2%
78-88165.5Auburn -9.9Nebraska at UCLA • FINAL28-7 • 24-12Final Score: Nebraska 52-72 UCLA
UCLA 51.6%Nebraska 48.4%
73-73146.6UCLA -0.4Creighton at Butler • FINAL15-18 • 16-16Final Score: Creighton 76-59 Butler
Butler 67.8%Creighton 32.2%
76-81156.7Butler -5.6Nevada at Wyoming • FINAL24-13 • 18-15Final Score: Nevada 73-83 Wyoming
Wyoming 52.4%Nevada 47.6%
74-76150.5Wyoming -1.9San José State at Fresno State • FINAL9-24 • 13-19Final Score: San José State 68-82 Fresno State
Fresno State 74.6%San José State 25.4%
70-79149.7Fresno State -8.9Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Jackson State • FINAL13-19 • 12-21Final Score: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 78-81 Jackson State
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 59.4%Jackson State 40.6%
81-79159.6Arkansas-Pine Bluff -2.5Grand Canyon at Air Force • FINAL20-12 • 3-29Final Score: Grand Canyon 86-60 Air Force
Grand Canyon 97.3%Air Force 2.7%
83-60143.2Grand Canyon -22.3George Mason at VCU • FINAL23-10 • 28-8Final Score: George Mason 65-70 VCU
VCU 81.8%George Mason 18.2%
69-79148.1VCU -10.1Dayton at Richmond • FINAL25-12 • 15-17Final Score: Dayton 65-60 Richmond
Dayton 63.9%Richmond 36.1%
75-73148.3Dayton -2.0Oklahoma State at UCF • FINAL20-15 • 21-12Final Score: Oklahoma State 111-104 UCF
UCF 71.3%Oklahoma State 28.7%
81-87168.2UCF -6.6Seton Hall at Xavier • FINAL21-12 • 15-18Final Score: Seton Hall 77-68 Xavier
Seton Hall 58.4%Xavier 41.6%
75-73148.4Seton Hall -2.2Wake Forest at Virginia • FINAL18-17 • 30-6Final Score: Wake Forest 70-75 Virginia
Virginia 85.4%Wake Forest 14.6%
71-84155.2Virginia -12.8Toledo at Miami (OH) • FINAL19-15 • 32-2Final Score: Toledo 72-74 Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) 67.3%Toledo 32.7%
79-87166.1Miami (OH) -7.4Ohio at Massachusetts • FINAL15-17 • 17-16Final Score: Ohio 82-94 Massachusetts
Massachusetts 71.1%Ohio 28.9%
77-84161.0Massachusetts -7.1Ball State at Western Michigan • FINAL12-19 • 10-21Final Score: Ball State 74-71 Western Michigan
Western Michigan 66.3%Ball State 33.7%
71-75146.4Western Michigan -4.4Akron at Central Michigan • FINAL29-6 • 10-21Final Score: Akron 77-64 Central Michigan
Akron 87.2%Central Michigan 12.8%
86-74159.5Akron -12.4UAlbany at Vermont • FINAL11-20 • 22-12Final Score: UAlbany 56-69 Vermont
Vermont 85.3%UAlbany 14.7%
64-76140.3Vermont -11.4UNC Wilmington at Elon • FINAL27-7 • 14-18Final Score: UNC Wilmington 76-57 Elon
UNC Wilmington 73.4%Elon 26.6%
79-73152.1UNC Wilmington -5.4North Carolina A&T at Campbell • FINAL11-19 • 15-18Final Score: North Carolina A&T 72-90 Campbell
Campbell 82.4%North Carolina A&T 17.6%
74-84158.0Campbell -9.9Hampton at William & Mary • FINAL13-19 • 20-12Final Score: Hampton 85-94 William & Mary
William & Mary 84.4%Hampton 15.6%
71-82152.8William & Mary -11.1Drexel at Hofstra • FINAL17-16 • 24-11Final Score: Drexel 51-62 Hofstra
Hofstra 87.4%Drexel 12.6%
63-75138.1Hofstra -12.7Monmouth at Northeastern • FINAL19-15 • 8-23Final Score: Monmouth 89-83 Northeastern
Monmouth 67.9%Northeastern 32.1%
78-74151.5Monmouth -4.1Missouri at Oklahoma • FINAL20-13 • 21-16Final Score: Missouri 64-80 Oklahoma
Oklahoma 74.2%Missouri 25.8%
77-84161.4Oklahoma -6.9Mississippi Valley State at Alcorn State • FINAL3-30 • 9-23Final Score: Mississippi Valley State 64-67 Alcorn State
Alcorn State 85.6%Mississippi Valley State 14.4%
68-80148.5Alcorn State -11.8West Virginia at Kansas State • FINAL21-14 • 12-20Final Score: West Virginia 63-65 Kansas State
West Virginia 63.1%Kansas State 36.9%
77-74150.4West Virginia -2.8Southern at Alabama State • FINAL17-17 • 10-22Final Score: Southern 71-64 Alabama State
Southern 55.4%Alabama State 44.6%
79-78157.0Southern -0.9Kent State at Northern Illinois • FINAL24-10 • 9-21Final Score: Kent State 102-76 Northern Illinois
Kent State 91.1%Northern Illinois 8.9%
86-73158.8Kent State -13.1Grambling at Alabama A&M • FINAL14-19 • 18-15Final Score: Grambling 63-77 Alabama A&M
Alabama A&M 64.8%Grambling 35.2%
69-73142.8Alabama A&M -4.0Colorado at Utah • FINAL17-16 • 10-22Final Score: Colorado 92-78 Utah
Colorado 61.6%Utah 38.4%
81-79160.3Colorado -1.9San Diego State at Boise State • FINAL22-10 • 20-12Final Score: San Diego State 77-86 Boise State
Boise State 60.9%San Diego State 39.1%
75-77152.1Boise State -2.7Boston College at Virginia Tech • FINAL11-20 • 19-13Final Score: Boston College 63-72 Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech 87.1%Boston College 12.9%
67-80146.7Virginia Tech -12.7Utah State at UNLV • FINAL29-7 • 18-16Final Score: Utah State 65-92 UNLV
Utah State 71.7%UNLV 28.3%
82-76158.5Utah State -5.8Fordham at La Salle • FINAL17-15 • 9-23Final Score: Fordham 84-87 La Salle
Fordham 62.1%La Salle 37.9%
70-67137.2Fordham -3.4Minnesota at Indiana • FINAL15-18 • 18-14Final Score: Minnesota 47-77 Indiana
Indiana 79.7%Minnesota 20.3%
67-77144.6Indiana -9.8Vanderbilt at Ole Miss • FINAL27-9 • 15-20Final Score: Vanderbilt 89-86 Ole Miss
Vanderbilt 77.9%Ole Miss 22.1%
84-76159.9Vanderbilt -7.7Holy Cross at Lafayette • FINAL11-22 • 11-21Final Score: Holy Cross 82-77 Lafayette
Lafayette 66.8%Holy Cross 33.2%
69-74143.0Lafayette -5.1Army at Bucknell • FINAL11-21 • 10-23Final Score: Army 55-65 Bucknell
Bucknell 59.5%Army 40.5%
72-75147.7Bucknell -2.9UL Monroe at Old Dominion • FINAL4-28 • 12-21Final Score: UL Monroe 80-87 Old Dominion
Old Dominion 91.1%UL Monroe 8.9%
71-87158.5Old Dominion -15.7Jacksonville at Bellarmine • FINAL12-20 • 13-19Final Score: Jacksonville 79-82 Bellarmine
Bellarmine 65.8%Jacksonville 34.2%
77-81157.1Bellarmine -4.0North Alabama at Florida Gulf Coast • FINAL9-21 • 16-18Final Score: North Alabama 58-69 Florida Gulf Coast
Florida Gulf Coast 88.4%North Alabama 11.6%
69-83152.5Florida Gulf Coast -13.9Stetson at Eastern Kentucky • FINAL12-21 • 11-21Final Score: Stetson 92-76 Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky 74.6%Stetson 25.4%
77-85161.6Eastern Kentucky -8.2Louisiana at James Madison • FINAL11-22 • 18-15Final Score: Louisiana 72-87 James Madison
James Madison 88.4%Louisiana 11.6%
64-77141.1James Madison -13.1Purdue Fort Wayne at Green Bay • FINAL17-15 • 18-15Final Score: Purdue Fort Wayne 56-64 Green Bay
Green Bay 79.1%Purdue Fort Wayne 20.9%
74-82155.2Green Bay -7.9THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.