#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Hawai'i at UC Irvine • FINAL24-9 • 23-12Final Score: Hawai'i 71-64 UC Irvine
UC Irvine 72.2%Hawai'i 27.8%
72-78149.7UC Irvine -6.2Virginia at Duke • FINAL30-6 • 35-3Final Score: Virginia 70-74 Duke
Duke 87.4%Virginia 12.6%
68-81148.6Duke -12.7Kennesaw State at Louisiana Tech • FINAL21-14 • 20-14Final Score: Kennesaw State 71-60 Louisiana Tech
Kennesaw State 52.3%Louisiana Tech 47.7%
74-74147.9Louisiana Tech -0.7California Baptist at Utah Valley • FINAL25-9 • 25-9Final Score: California Baptist 63-61 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 64.5%California Baptist 35.5%
70-76145.1Utah Valley -6.0Pennsylvania at Yale • FINAL18-12 • 23-7Final Score: Pennsylvania 88-84 Yale
Yale 87.0%Pennsylvania 13.0%
69-82150.2Yale -12.8Vanderbilt at Arkansas • FINAL27-9 • 28-9Final Score: Vanderbilt 75-86 Arkansas
Arkansas 63.5%Vanderbilt 36.5%
84-88171.8Arkansas -3.9Dayton at VCU • FINAL25-12 • 28-8Final Score: Dayton 62-70 VCU
VCU 76.0%Dayton 24.0%
71-79149.6VCU -8.4Wichita State at South Florida • FINAL24-12 • 25-9Final Score: Wichita State 55-70 South Florida
South Florida 75.6%Wichita State 24.4%
75-84159.4South Florida -8.5Purdue at Michigan • FINAL30-9 • 36-3Final Score: Purdue 80-72 Michigan
Michigan 79.7%Purdue 20.3%
74-85158.2Michigan -10.8Toledo at Akron • FINAL19-15 • 29-6Final Score: Toledo 76-79 Akron
Akron 78.4%Toledo 21.6%
77-87164.0Akron -10.3THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.