#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Delaware State at North Carolina Central • FINAL8-22 • 14-18Final Score: Delaware State 53-59 North Carolina Central
North Carolina Central 79.9%Delaware State 20.1%
64-73136.3North Carolina Central -9.0Clemson at Duke • FINAL24-10 • 35-3Final Score: Clemson 61-73 Duke
Duke 95.0%Clemson 5.0%
61-80140.4Duke -18.9Georgetown at UConn • FINAL13-18 • 34-5Final Score: Georgetown 51-67 UConn
UConn 93.0%Georgetown 7.0%
59-77136.2UConn -17.4Southern at Florida A&M • FINAL17-17 • 14-16Final Score: Southern 73-70 Florida A&M
Southern 51.5%Florida A&M 48.5%
77-77153.1Southern -0.1UT Arlington at Utah Valley • FINAL18-14 • 25-9Final Score: UT Arlington 65-67 Utah Valley
Utah Valley 82.7%UT Arlington 17.3%
66-77142.8Utah Valley -11.2Cal State Northridge at UC Irvine • FINAL20-14 • 23-12Final Score: Cal State Northridge 78-93 UC Irvine
UC Irvine 80.9%Cal State Northridge 19.1%
73-84156.4UC Irvine -10.8UCLA at Michigan State • FINAL24-12 • 27-8Final Score: UCLA 88-84 Michigan State
Michigan State 78.0%UCLA 22.0%
70-79149.0Michigan State -9.4Oklahoma at Arkansas • FINAL21-16 • 28-9Final Score: Oklahoma 79-82 Arkansas
Arkansas 78.8%Oklahoma 21.2%
81-91171.7Arkansas -9.6Nevada at Utah State • FINAL24-13 • 29-7Final Score: Nevada 66-79 Utah State
Utah State 76.3%Nevada 23.7%
72-81152.3Utah State -9.2Kansas at Houston • FINAL24-11 • 29-7Final Score: Kansas 47-69 Houston
Houston 88.8%Kansas 11.2%
64-78142.0Houston -13.4Utah Tech at California Baptist • FINAL19-15 • 25-9Final Score: Utah Tech 72-86 California Baptist
California Baptist 85.0%Utah Tech 15.0%
68-79146.9California Baptist -11.4Cal State Fullerton at Hawai'i • FINAL18-16 • 24-9Final Score: Cal State Fullerton 63-78 Hawai'i
Hawai'i 74.4%Cal State Fullerton 25.6%
76-85161.2Hawai'i -9.3New Mexico at San Diego State • FINAL26-11 • 22-10Final Score: New Mexico 62-64 San Diego State
San Diego State 52.7%New Mexico 47.3%
75-77152.3San Diego State -1.6North Carolina Central at Howard • FINAL14-18 • 24-11Final Score: North Carolina Central 63-70 Howard
Howard 94.6%North Carolina Central 5.4%
65-84148.5Howard -18.8Vermont at UMBC • FINAL22-12 • 24-8Final Score: Vermont 59-74 UMBC
UMBC 76.5%Vermont 23.5%
66-74140.0UMBC -8.3Cornell at Yale • FINAL15-13 • 23-7Final Score: Cornell 76-88 Yale
Yale 82.4%Cornell 17.6%
76-87163.3Yale -10.6Vanderbilt at Florida • FINAL27-9 • 27-8Final Score: Vanderbilt 91-74 Florida
Florida 84.7%Vanderbilt 15.3%
76-88164.0Florida -11.3Wisconsin at Michigan • FINAL24-11 • 36-3Final Score: Wisconsin 65-68 Michigan
Michigan 91.2%Wisconsin 8.8%
73-89162.3Michigan -16.3Dayton at Saint Louis • FINAL25-12 • 29-6Final Score: Dayton 70-69 Saint Louis
Saint Louis 78.0%Dayton 22.0%
71-82152.6Saint Louis -11.1Pennsylvania at Harvard • FINAL18-12 • 17-12Final Score: Pennsylvania 62-60 Harvard
Harvard 61.7%Pennsylvania 38.3%
70-74143.9Harvard -4.4Charlotte at South Florida • FINAL17-17 • 25-9Final Score: Charlotte 64-86 South Florida
South Florida 93.6%Charlotte 6.4%
70-89158.9South Florida -18.4Ole Miss at Arkansas • FINAL15-20 • 28-9Final Score: Ole Miss 90-93 Arkansas
Arkansas 91.1%Ole Miss 8.9%
75-91166.3Arkansas -15.6Purdue at UCLA • FINAL30-9 • 24-12Final Score: Purdue 73-66 UCLA
Purdue 65.2%UCLA 34.8%
77-75152.2Purdue -2.7Saint Joseph's at VCU • FINAL24-12 • 28-8Final Score: Saint Joseph's 64-77 VCU
VCU 87.9%Saint Joseph's 12.1%
68-81149.5VCU -13.1Tulsa at Wichita State • FINAL30-8 • 24-12Final Score: Tulsa 68-81 Wichita State
Wichita State 58.2%Tulsa 41.8%
77-80156.6Wichita State -2.4San Diego State at Utah State • FINAL22-10 • 29-7Final Score: San Diego State 62-73 Utah State
Utah State 75.6%San Diego State 24.4%
73-80152.9Utah State -7.8Houston at Arizona • FINAL29-7 • 36-3Final Score: Houston 74-79 Arizona
Arizona 72.0%Houston 28.0%
71-78149.0Arizona -7.2UConn at St. John's • FINAL34-5 • 30-6Final Score: UConn 52-72 St. John's
St. John's 62.7%UConn 37.3%
71-76147.3St. John's -4.4Prairie View A&M at Southern • FINAL19-18 • 17-17Final Score: Prairie View A&M 72-66 Southern
Southern 69.7%Prairie View A&M 30.3%
77-83159.7Southern -5.9THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.