#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Maryland Eastern Shore at North Carolina Central • FINAL9-23 • 14-18Final Score: Maryland Eastern Shore 76-83 North Carolina Central
North Carolina Central 70.6%Maryland Eastern Shore 29.4%
67-74141.1North Carolina Central -6.1Clemson at North Carolina • FINAL24-10 • 24-9Final Score: Clemson 80-79 North Carolina
North Carolina 75.0%Clemson 25.0%
68-76144.1North Carolina -7.4Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Southern • FINAL13-19 • 17-17Final Score: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 81-84 Southern
Southern 76.0%Arkansas-Pine Bluff 24.0%
77-85161.9Southern -8.8Southern Utah at UT Arlington • FINAL10-22 • 18-14Final Score: Southern Utah 63-69 UT Arlington
UT Arlington 81.9%Southern Utah 18.1%
68-79147.1UT Arlington -11.2Colorado State at San Diego State • FINAL21-13 • 22-10Final Score: Colorado State 62-71 San Diego State
San Diego State 73.7%Colorado State 26.3%
71-79149.4San Diego State -8.3Kennesaw State at Western Kentucky • FINAL21-14 • 18-14Final Score: Kennesaw State 96-87 Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky 62.2%Kennesaw State 37.8%
79-82160.9Western Kentucky -3.3UC San Diego at Cal State Northridge • FINAL23-11 • 20-14Final Score: UC San Diego 70-80 Cal State Northridge
Cal State Northridge 53.3%UC San Diego 46.7%
78-79156.5Cal State Northridge -1.3Rutgers at UCLA • FINAL13-20 • 24-12Final Score: Rutgers 59-72 UCLA
UCLA 91.8%Rutgers 8.2%
66-82148.3UCLA -16.3Oklahoma at Texas A&M • FINAL21-16 • 20-12Final Score: Oklahoma 83-63 Texas A&M
Texas A&M 51.3%Oklahoma 48.7%
80-82161.7Texas A&M -2.3Georgetown at Villanova • FINAL13-18 • 24-9Final Score: Georgetown 78-64 Villanova
Villanova 80.0%Georgetown 20.0%
65-75140.0Villanova -9.9TCU at Kansas • FINAL23-12 • 24-11Final Score: TCU 73-78 Kansas
Kansas 68.3%TCU 31.7%
71-77148.0Kansas -6.0Florida Atlantic at North Texas • FINAL18-15 • 19-14Final Score: Florida Atlantic 70-74 North Texas
North Texas 64.0%Florida Atlantic 36.0%
71-75146.5North Texas -4.2Abilene Christian at Utah Tech • FINAL14-19 • 19-15Final Score: Abilene Christian 74-80 Utah Tech
Utah Tech 74.2%Abilene Christian 25.8%
70-78148.6Utah Tech -7.6San José State at New Mexico • FINAL9-24 • 26-11Final Score: San José State 77-93 New Mexico
New Mexico 94.9%San José State 5.1%
67-87153.7New Mexico -20.7UC Davis at Cal State Fullerton • FINAL19-14 • 18-16Final Score: UC Davis 70-82 Cal State Fullerton
Cal State Fullerton 65.0%UC Davis 35.0%
79-83162.8Cal State Fullerton -4.2South Carolina State at Howard • FINAL10-22 • 24-11Final Score: South Carolina State 61-78 Howard
Howard 96.9%South Carolina State 3.1%
62-86147.6Howard -23.6Miami at Virginia • FINAL26-9 • 30-6Final Score: Miami 62-84 Virginia
Virginia 70.8%Miami 29.2%
73-80153.3Virginia -6.3George Washington at Saint Louis • FINAL19-16 • 29-6Final Score: George Washington 81-88 Saint Louis
Saint Louis 78.2%George Washington 21.8%
75-85160.2Saint Louis -10.5Ohio State at Michigan • FINAL21-13 • 36-3Final Score: Ohio State 67-71 Michigan
Michigan 91.2%Ohio State 8.8%
71-87158.0Michigan -16.6Missouri State at Louisiana Tech • FINAL16-18 • 20-14Final Score: Missouri State 66-69 Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 60.3%Missouri State 39.7%
69-73141.7Louisiana Tech -4.6Kentucky at Florida • FINAL22-14 • 27-8Final Score: Kentucky 63-71 Florida
Florida 90.6%Kentucky 9.4%
73-88160.3Florida -15.2Charlotte at UAB • FINAL17-17 • 20-12Final Score: Charlotte 83-78 UAB
UAB 79.5%Charlotte 20.5%
71-81152.7UAB -10.0Prairie View A&M at Alabama A&M • FINAL19-18 • 18-15Final Score: Prairie View A&M 74-55 Alabama A&M
Alabama A&M 64.3%Prairie View A&M 35.7%
74-78151.5Alabama A&M -4.0St. Bonaventure at Dayton • FINAL17-17 • 25-12Final Score: St. Bonaventure 63-68 Dayton
Dayton 78.6%St. Bonaventure 21.4%
70-79148.4Dayton -8.9Wisconsin at Illinois • FINAL24-11 • 28-9Final Score: Wisconsin 91-88 Illinois
Illinois 86.4%Wisconsin 13.6%
73-86158.7Illinois -12.5Kennesaw State at Sam Houston • FINAL21-14 • 22-12Final Score: Kennesaw State 79-73 Sam Houston
Sam Houston 63.5%Kennesaw State 36.5%
79-83162.1Sam Houston -4.5Tennessee at Vanderbilt • FINAL25-12 • 27-9Final Score: Tennessee 68-75 Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt 63.2%Tennessee 36.8%
77-81157.6Vanderbilt -4.5North Texas at Tulsa • FINAL19-14 • 30-8Final Score: North Texas 84-90 Tulsa
Tulsa 87.1%North Texas 12.9%
69-81150.0Tulsa -12.9Duquesne at VCU • FINAL18-15 • 28-8Final Score: Duquesne 66-71 VCU
VCU 89.8%Duquesne 10.2%
71-85155.9VCU -14.0Seton Hall at St. John's • FINAL21-12 • 30-6Final Score: Seton Hall 68-78 St. John's
St. John's 87.9%Seton Hall 12.1%
65-78143.2St. John's -13.1Purdue at Nebraska • FINAL30-9 • 28-7Final Score: Purdue 74-58 Nebraska
Purdue 54.5%Nebraska 45.5%
74-75149.2Nebraska -1.0Ole Miss at Alabama • FINAL15-20 • 24-10Final Score: Ole Miss 80-79 Alabama
Alabama 91.3%Ole Miss 8.7%
76-92167.9Alabama -15.3Iowa State at Arizona • FINAL28-8 • 36-3Final Score: Iowa State 80-82 Arizona
Arizona 72.2%Iowa State 27.8%
73-80153.7Arizona -6.9Davidson at Saint Joseph's • FINAL20-14 • 24-12Final Score: Davidson 58-70 Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's 61.1%Davidson 38.9%
69-73141.7Saint Joseph's -3.7Kent State at Akron • FINAL24-10 • 29-6Final Score: Kent State 68-75 Akron
Akron 85.1%Kent State 14.9%
78-90168.1Akron -12.4Massachusetts at Toledo • FINAL17-16 • 19-15Final Score: Massachusetts 67-77 Toledo
Toledo 79.0%Massachusetts 21.0%
77-85161.7Toledo -8.4THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.