#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Wake Forest at Clemson • FINAL18-17 • 24-10Final Score: Wake Forest 62-71 Clemson
Clemson 68.3%Wake Forest 31.7%
70-77146.9Clemson -6.6Tarleton State at Abilene Christian • FINAL14-18 • 14-19Final Score: Tarleton State 78-84 Abilene Christian
Abilene Christian 56.6%Tarleton State 43.4%
72-74146.2Abilene Christian -2.0Jackson State at Florida A&M • FINAL12-21 • 14-16Final Score: Jackson State 60-70 Florida A&M
Florida A&M 81.4%Jackson State 18.6%
70-81150.9Florida A&M -11.2Fresno State at Colorado State • FINAL13-19 • 21-13Final Score: Fresno State 63-67 Colorado State
Colorado State 80.7%Fresno State 19.3%
69-78147.6Colorado State -9.2New Mexico State at Sam Houston • FINAL16-16 • 22-12Final Score: New Mexico State 61-69 Sam Houston
Sam Houston 74.2%New Mexico State 25.8%
74-81154.7Sam Houston -7.7Cal Poly at UC San Diego • FINAL14-19 • 23-11Final Score: Cal Poly 69-72 UC San Diego
UC San Diego 78.2%Cal Poly 21.8%
75-85160.0UC San Diego -10.1Rutgers at Minnesota • FINAL13-20 • 15-18Final Score: Rutgers 72-67 Minnesota
Minnesota 73.5%Rutgers 26.5%
67-75141.9Minnesota -8.2Georgetown at DePaul • FINAL13-18 • 16-16Final Score: Georgetown 63-56 DePaul
DePaul 54.1%Georgetown 45.9%
66-69134.8DePaul -2.7South Carolina at Oklahoma • FINAL13-19 • 21-16Final Score: South Carolina 74-86 Oklahoma
Oklahoma 88.7%South Carolina 11.3%
73-86159.4Oklahoma -13.0Oklahoma State at TCU • FINAL20-15 • 23-12Final Score: Oklahoma State 88-95 TCU
TCU 76.9%Oklahoma State 23.1%
77-85162.1TCU -8.8Temple at Florida Atlantic • FINAL16-16 • 18-15Final Score: Temple 59-63 Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic 64.3%Temple 35.7%
73-78150.7Florida Atlantic -5.2San José State at Boise State • FINAL9-24 • 20-12Final Score: San José State 84-74 Boise State
Boise State 92.1%San José State 7.9%
68-85153.3Boise State -16.8UC Santa Barbara at UC Davis • FINAL18-14 • 19-14Final Score: UC Santa Barbara 73-79 UC Davis
UC Davis 54.4%UC Santa Barbara 45.6%
76-78153.9UC Davis -1.9Idaho at Montana • FINAL21-15 • 18-16Final Score: Idaho 77-66 Montana
Idaho 58.9%Montana 41.1%
77-76153.5Idaho -0.7South Carolina State at Norfolk State • FINAL10-22 • 15-17Final Score: South Carolina State 88-82 Norfolk State
Norfolk State 87.9%South Carolina State 12.1%
67-82149.5Norfolk State -14.6Florida State at Duke • FINAL18-15 • 35-3Final Score: Florida State 79-80 Duke
Duke 95.6%Florida State 4.4%
67-87154.1Duke -20.8Louisville at Miami • FINAL24-11 • 26-9Final Score: Louisville 73-78 Miami
Miami 58.2%Louisville 41.8%
78-80158.0Miami -2.5NC State at Virginia • FINAL20-14 • 30-6Final Score: NC State 74-81 Virginia
Virginia 81.6%NC State 18.4%
74-84157.3Virginia -10.0George Washington at Fordham • FINAL19-16 • 17-15Final Score: George Washington 66-62 Fordham
George Washington 63.4%Fordham 36.6%
74-72146.0George Washington -1.9Iowa at Ohio State • FINAL24-13 • 21-13Final Score: Iowa 69-72 Ohio State
Ohio State 63.2%Iowa 36.8%
72-76147.5Ohio State -3.9Providence at St. John's • FINAL15-18 • 30-6Final Score: Providence 72-85 St. John's
St. John's 90.9%Providence 9.1%
74-90164.1St. John's -16.1Kentucky at Missouri • FINAL22-14 • 20-13Final Score: Kentucky 78-72 Missouri
Kentucky 55.9%Missouri 44.1%
79-79157.9Kentucky -0.6Iowa State at Texas Tech • FINAL28-8 • 23-11Final Score: Iowa State 75-53 Texas Tech
Iowa State 64.9%Texas Tech 35.1%
78-74152.3Iowa State -3.4Alabama A&M at Texas Southern • FINAL18-15 • 12-17Final Score: Alabama A&M 85-74 Texas Southern
Texas Southern 58.5%Alabama A&M 41.5%
72-75146.9Texas Southern -3.0St. Bonaventure at George Mason • FINAL17-17 • 23-10Final Score: St. Bonaventure 63-57 George Mason
George Mason 72.2%St. Bonaventure 27.8%
70-77146.9George Mason -7.2Washington at Wisconsin • FINAL16-17 • 24-11Final Score: Washington 82-85 Wisconsin
Wisconsin 79.1%Washington 20.9%
74-83158.0Wisconsin -9.0Creighton at Seton Hall • FINAL15-18 • 21-12Final Score: Creighton 61-72 Seton Hall
Seton Hall 77.4%Creighton 22.6%
67-76143.4Seton Hall -9.2Auburn at Tennessee • FINAL21-16 • 25-12Final Score: Auburn 62-72 Tennessee
Tennessee 72.7%Auburn 27.3%
75-83158.3Tennessee -8.3UNLV at Utah State • FINAL18-16 • 29-7Final Score: UNLV 60-80 Utah State
Utah State 87.5%UNLV 12.5%
72-86158.5Utah State -14.0UCF at Arizona • FINAL21-12 • 36-3Final Score: UCF 59-81 Arizona
Arizona 95.5%UCF 4.5%
70-91161.0Arizona -20.5Rhode Island at Duquesne • FINAL16-16 • 18-15Final Score: Rhode Island 61-67 Duquesne
Duquesne 61.7%Rhode Island 38.3%
71-75146.6Duquesne -4.0Nevada at Grand Canyon • FINAL24-13 • 20-12Final Score: Nevada 84-80 Grand Canyon
Grand Canyon 62.5%Nevada 37.5%
71-76147.1Grand Canyon -4.9Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech • FINAL17-15 • 20-14Final Score: Middle Tennessee 69-80 Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 56.6%Middle Tennessee 43.4%
69-72141.4Louisiana Tech -3.4Northwestern at Purdue • FINAL15-19 • 30-9Final Score: Northwestern 68-81 Purdue
Purdue 92.4%Northwestern 7.6%
67-83150.4Purdue -16.3Ole Miss at Georgia • FINAL15-20 • 22-11Final Score: Ole Miss 76-72 Georgia
Georgia 85.1%Ole Miss 14.9%
76-89165.1Georgia -13.0Xavier at UConn • FINAL15-18 • 34-5Final Score: Xavier 68-93 UConn
UConn 94.3%Xavier 5.7%
67-86152.5UConn -19.2BYU at Houston • FINAL23-12 • 29-7Final Score: BYU 66-73 Houston
Houston 86.5%BYU 13.5%
69-82151.0Houston -12.2Tulane at Charlotte • FINAL18-15 • 17-17Final Score: Tulane 60-74 Charlotte
Charlotte 74.4%Tulane 25.6%
71-78149.4Charlotte -7.4Loyola Chicago at Davidson • FINAL9-24 • 20-14Final Score: Loyola Chicago 59-64 Davidson
Davidson 88.4%Loyola Chicago 11.6%
63-78141.1Davidson -14.6Ohio at Kent State • FINAL15-17 • 24-10Final Score: Ohio 75-86 Kent State
Kent State 77.8%Ohio 22.2%
78-87164.7Kent State -9.4Buffalo at Akron • FINAL17-15 • 29-6Final Score: Buffalo 70-73 Akron
Akron 90.9%Buffalo 9.1%
73-89162.0Akron -16.2Bowling Green at Toledo • FINAL18-14 • 19-15Final Score: Bowling Green 76-77 Toledo
Toledo 72.4%Bowling Green 27.6%
77-82158.5Toledo -4.8Massachusetts at Miami (OH) • FINAL17-16 • 32-2Final Score: Massachusetts 87-83 Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) 82.3%Massachusetts 17.7%
77-89166.4Miami (OH) -11.7THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.