THE BOARD

The Numbers Behind the Noise.

MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.

SIGNATURE MODEL

Numbers Before Narratives.

MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.

THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

MMH POWER INDEX

Team Ratings

2025-26 season • 366 Division I teams
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4
MMH MATCHUPS

Games

MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Siena at Merrimack • FINAL23-12 • 23-11Final Score: Siena 64-54 Merrimack
Merrimack 62.2%Siena 37.8%
65-69134.0Merrimack -3.4
Grambling at Jackson State • FINAL14-19 • 12-21Final Score: Grambling 65-68 Jackson State
Grambling 66.4%Jackson State 33.6%
77-72148.6Grambling -5.5
Santa Clara at Gonzaga • FINAL26-9 • 31-4Final Score: Santa Clara 68-79 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 85.7%Santa Clara 14.3%
72-84155.9Gonzaga -12.5
New Mexico State at Jacksonville State • FINAL16-16 • 15-17Final Score: New Mexico State 68-63 Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State 62.5%New Mexico State 37.5%
70-74144.6Jacksonville State -4.1
Montana at Portland State • FINAL18-16 • 20-11Final Score: Montana 75-72 Portland State
Portland State 74.0%Montana 26.0%
72-79151.2Portland State -7.6
UT Rio Grande Valley at McNeese • FINAL19-14 • 27-6Final Score: UT Rio Grande Valley 80-84 McNeese
McNeese 84.9%UT Rio Grande Valley 15.1%
66-78144.4McNeese -11.6
Oklahoma State at Colorado • FINAL20-15 • 17-16Final Score: Oklahoma State 92-83 Colorado
Colorado 60.3%Oklahoma State 39.7%
83-86168.8Colorado -3.5
Idaho at Eastern Washington • FINAL21-15 • 14-19Final Score: Idaho 81-68 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 60.1%Idaho 39.9%
77-79156.7Eastern Washington -2.0
Boston University at Lehigh • FINAL16-18 • 18-17Final Score: Boston University 60-74 Lehigh
Boston University 52.3%Lehigh 47.7%
74-75149.7Lehigh -0.9
Delaware State at Morgan State • FINAL8-22 • 14-16Final Score: Delaware State 75-70 Morgan State
Morgan State 82.3%Delaware State 17.7%
65-75140.0Morgan State -9.7
California at Florida State • FINAL22-12 • 18-15Final Score: California 89-95 Florida State
Florida State 68.0%California 32.0%
77-81158.0Florida State -4.6
SMU at Louisville • FINAL20-14 • 24-11Final Score: SMU 58-62 Louisville
Louisville 73.5%SMU 26.5%
78-86163.7Louisville -8.2
Pittsburgh at NC State • FINAL13-20 • 20-14Final Score: Pittsburgh 88-98 NC State
NC State 82.9%Pittsburgh 17.1%
71-82152.9NC State -11.5
St. Bonaventure at La Salle • FINAL17-17 • 9-23Final Score: St. Bonaventure 99-80 La Salle
St. Bonaventure 68.4%La Salle 31.6%
75-71146.9St. Bonaventure -4.0
Maryland at Iowa • FINAL12-20 • 24-13Final Score: Maryland 64-75 Iowa
Iowa 94.0%Maryland 6.0%
63-81143.6Iowa -18.4
LSU at Kentucky • FINAL15-17 • 22-14Final Score: LSU 82-87 Kentucky
Kentucky 83.1%LSU 16.9%
75-86161.2Kentucky -10.6
Arizona State at Iowa State • FINAL17-16 • 28-8Final Score: Arizona State 42-91 Iowa State
Iowa State 96.4%Arizona State 3.6%
65-88153.2Iowa State -22.2
Prairie View A&M at Bethune-Cookman • FINAL19-18 • 17-15Final Score: Prairie View A&M 71-67 Bethune-Cookman
Bethune-Cookman 69.0%Prairie View A&M 31.0%
76-81156.4Bethune-Cookman -4.9
Loyola Chicago at Richmond • FINAL9-24 • 15-17Final Score: Loyola Chicago 75-67 Richmond
Richmond 84.9%Loyola Chicago 15.1%
67-80147.7Richmond -12.8
USC at Washington • FINAL18-14 • 16-17Final Score: USC 79-83 Washington
Washington 81.6%USC 18.4%
73-83156.5Washington -9.6
Mississippi State at Auburn • FINAL13-19 • 21-16Final Score: Mississippi State 61-79 Auburn
Auburn 93.8%Mississippi State 6.2%
74-91165.4Auburn -16.9
Wyoming at UNLV • FINAL18-15 • 18-16Final Score: Wyoming 70-73 UNLV
UNLV 53.5%Wyoming 46.5%
78-79156.6UNLV -1.4
Cincinnati at UCF • FINAL18-15 • 21-12Final Score: Cincinnati 65-66 UCF
UCF 50.5%Cincinnati 49.5%
75-76151.6UCF -0.9
Providence at Butler • FINAL15-18 • 16-16Final Score: Providence 91-81 Butler
Butler 58.5%Providence 41.5%
82-86168.3Butler -3.5
McNeese at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL27-6 • 28-6Final Score: McNeese 76-59 Stephen F. Austin
McNeese 55.6%Stephen F. Austin 44.4%
71-72143.0Stephen F. Austin -0.0
Air Force at Nevada • FINAL3-29 • 24-13Final Score: Air Force 45-80 Nevada
Nevada 99.0%Air Force 1.0%
58-87145.2Nevada -29.8
Missouri State at Liberty • FINAL16-18 • 26-8Final Score: Missouri State 77-69 Liberty
Liberty 69.0%Missouri State 31.0%
72-78150.1Liberty -6.6
Northwestern at Indiana • FINAL15-19 • 18-14Final Score: Northwestern 74-61 Indiana
Indiana 69.4%Northwestern 30.6%
71-78149.3Indiana -7.0
Xavier at Marquette • FINAL15-18 • 12-20Final Score: Xavier 89-87 Marquette
Marquette 69.4%Xavier 30.6%
76-82158.1Marquette -6.0
Ole Miss at Texas • FINAL15-20 • 21-15Final Score: Ole Miss 76-66 Texas
Texas 81.3%Ole Miss 18.7%
74-85158.8Texas -10.5
BYU at West Virginia • FINAL23-12 • 21-14Final Score: BYU 68-48 West Virginia
BYU 57.8%West Virginia 42.2%
75-74148.8BYU -1.0
Tulane at Memphis • FINAL18-15 • 13-19Final Score: Tulane 81-69 Memphis
Memphis 71.1%Tulane 28.9%
72-79151.8Memphis -6.9
THE RECEIPTS

MMH Keeps Score of Itself

View every call →
1–0Model Record

Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.

HOW TO READ IT

One projection. One permanent result.

MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.

ACCOUNTABILITY

Every prediction leaves a receipt.

MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.