#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Siena at Merrimack • FINAL23-12 • 23-11Final Score: Siena 64-54 Merrimack
Merrimack 62.2%Siena 37.8%
65-69134.0Merrimack -3.4Grambling at Jackson State • FINAL14-19 • 12-21Final Score: Grambling 65-68 Jackson State
Grambling 66.4%Jackson State 33.6%
77-72148.6Grambling -5.5Santa Clara at Gonzaga • FINAL26-9 • 31-4Final Score: Santa Clara 68-79 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 85.7%Santa Clara 14.3%
72-84155.9Gonzaga -12.5New Mexico State at Jacksonville State • FINAL16-16 • 15-17Final Score: New Mexico State 68-63 Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State 62.5%New Mexico State 37.5%
70-74144.6Jacksonville State -4.1Montana at Portland State • FINAL18-16 • 20-11Final Score: Montana 75-72 Portland State
Portland State 74.0%Montana 26.0%
72-79151.2Portland State -7.6UT Rio Grande Valley at McNeese • FINAL19-14 • 27-6Final Score: UT Rio Grande Valley 80-84 McNeese
McNeese 84.9%UT Rio Grande Valley 15.1%
66-78144.4McNeese -11.6Oklahoma State at Colorado • FINAL20-15 • 17-16Final Score: Oklahoma State 92-83 Colorado
Colorado 60.3%Oklahoma State 39.7%
83-86168.8Colorado -3.5Idaho at Eastern Washington • FINAL21-15 • 14-19Final Score: Idaho 81-68 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 60.1%Idaho 39.9%
77-79156.7Eastern Washington -2.0Boston University at Lehigh • FINAL16-18 • 18-17Final Score: Boston University 60-74 Lehigh
Boston University 52.3%Lehigh 47.7%
74-75149.7Lehigh -0.9Delaware State at Morgan State • FINAL8-22 • 14-16Final Score: Delaware State 75-70 Morgan State
Morgan State 82.3%Delaware State 17.7%
65-75140.0Morgan State -9.7California at Florida State • FINAL22-12 • 18-15Final Score: California 89-95 Florida State
Florida State 68.0%California 32.0%
77-81158.0Florida State -4.6SMU at Louisville • FINAL20-14 • 24-11Final Score: SMU 58-62 Louisville
Louisville 73.5%SMU 26.5%
78-86163.7Louisville -8.2Pittsburgh at NC State • FINAL13-20 • 20-14Final Score: Pittsburgh 88-98 NC State
NC State 82.9%Pittsburgh 17.1%
71-82152.9NC State -11.5St. Bonaventure at La Salle • FINAL17-17 • 9-23Final Score: St. Bonaventure 99-80 La Salle
St. Bonaventure 68.4%La Salle 31.6%
75-71146.9St. Bonaventure -4.0Maryland at Iowa • FINAL12-20 • 24-13Final Score: Maryland 64-75 Iowa
Iowa 94.0%Maryland 6.0%
63-81143.6Iowa -18.4LSU at Kentucky • FINAL15-17 • 22-14Final Score: LSU 82-87 Kentucky
Kentucky 83.1%LSU 16.9%
75-86161.2Kentucky -10.6Arizona State at Iowa State • FINAL17-16 • 28-8Final Score: Arizona State 42-91 Iowa State
Iowa State 96.4%Arizona State 3.6%
65-88153.2Iowa State -22.2Prairie View A&M at Bethune-Cookman • FINAL19-18 • 17-15Final Score: Prairie View A&M 71-67 Bethune-Cookman
Bethune-Cookman 69.0%Prairie View A&M 31.0%
76-81156.4Bethune-Cookman -4.9Loyola Chicago at Richmond • FINAL9-24 • 15-17Final Score: Loyola Chicago 75-67 Richmond
Richmond 84.9%Loyola Chicago 15.1%
67-80147.7Richmond -12.8USC at Washington • FINAL18-14 • 16-17Final Score: USC 79-83 Washington
Washington 81.6%USC 18.4%
73-83156.5Washington -9.6Mississippi State at Auburn • FINAL13-19 • 21-16Final Score: Mississippi State 61-79 Auburn
Auburn 93.8%Mississippi State 6.2%
74-91165.4Auburn -16.9Wyoming at UNLV • FINAL18-15 • 18-16Final Score: Wyoming 70-73 UNLV
UNLV 53.5%Wyoming 46.5%
78-79156.6UNLV -1.4Cincinnati at UCF • FINAL18-15 • 21-12Final Score: Cincinnati 65-66 UCF
UCF 50.5%Cincinnati 49.5%
75-76151.6UCF -0.9Providence at Butler • FINAL15-18 • 16-16Final Score: Providence 91-81 Butler
Butler 58.5%Providence 41.5%
82-86168.3Butler -3.5McNeese at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL27-6 • 28-6Final Score: McNeese 76-59 Stephen F. Austin
McNeese 55.6%Stephen F. Austin 44.4%
71-72143.0Stephen F. Austin -0.0Air Force at Nevada • FINAL3-29 • 24-13Final Score: Air Force 45-80 Nevada
Nevada 99.0%Air Force 1.0%
58-87145.2Nevada -29.8Missouri State at Liberty • FINAL16-18 • 26-8Final Score: Missouri State 77-69 Liberty
Liberty 69.0%Missouri State 31.0%
72-78150.1Liberty -6.6Northwestern at Indiana • FINAL15-19 • 18-14Final Score: Northwestern 74-61 Indiana
Indiana 69.4%Northwestern 30.6%
71-78149.3Indiana -7.0Xavier at Marquette • FINAL15-18 • 12-20Final Score: Xavier 89-87 Marquette
Marquette 69.4%Xavier 30.6%
76-82158.1Marquette -6.0Ole Miss at Texas • FINAL15-20 • 21-15Final Score: Ole Miss 76-66 Texas
Texas 81.3%Ole Miss 18.7%
74-85158.8Texas -10.5BYU at West Virginia • FINAL23-12 • 21-14Final Score: BYU 68-48 West Virginia
BYU 57.8%West Virginia 42.2%
75-74148.8BYU -1.0Tulane at Memphis • FINAL18-15 • 13-19Final Score: Tulane 81-69 Memphis
Memphis 71.1%Tulane 28.9%
72-79151.8Memphis -6.9THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.