#1 Duke Blue DevilsAtlantic Coast Conference
81.7122.295.2+26.9THE BOARD
The Numbers Behind the Noise.
MMH looks for what conventional rankings, records and the market may be missing.
SIGNATURE MODEL
Numbers Before Narratives.
MMH uses team efficiency, recent performance, strength of schedule and matchup data to produce independent game projections. Pregame predictions are frozen before tipoff so the model has to keep score of its own calls.
THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
MMH POWER INDEX
2025-26 season • 366 Division I teamsTeam Ratings
TEAMMMHOFFDEFNET
#2 Michigan WolverinesBig Ten Conference
80.9122.397+25.2#3 Arizona WildcatsBig 12 Conference
79.9120.396.9+23.4#4 Florida GatorsSoutheastern Conference
79.7120.999.3+21.7#5 Illinois Fighting IlliniBig Ten Conference
76.5125103.3+21.7#6 Gonzaga BulldogsWest Coast Conference
76.4119.794+25.7#7 Houston CougarsBig 12 Conference
76118.495.9+22.5#8 Iowa State CyclonesBig 12 Conference
75.9119.396+23.3#9 Purdue BoilermakersBig Ten Conference
73.2124.8107.8+17#10 Saint Mary's GaelsWest Coast Conference
70.7116.797.4+19.3#11 St. John's Red StormBig East Conference
70.3114.497.6+16.8#12 UConn HuskiesBig East Conference
70.2116.398.4+17.9#13 Michigan State SpartansBig Ten Conference
69.8117101.5+15.5#14 Alabama Crimson TideSoutheastern Conference
69.5121.6111.2+10.4#15 Arkansas RazorbacksSoutheastern Conference
69.3122.2109.8+12.4#16 High Point PanthersBig South Conference
69123.898.3+25.5#17 Virginia CavaliersAtlantic Coast Conference
68.9119101.8+17.2#18 Vanderbilt CommodoresSoutheastern Conference
68.9120.9105.7+15.2#19 South Florida BullsAmerican Conference
68.8117.3101.6+15.7#20 Tennessee VolunteersSoutheastern Conference
68.6115.8102.1+13.6#21 Louisville CardinalsAtlantic Coast Conference
67.1118.6102.2+16.5#22 Nebraska CornhuskersBig Ten Conference
67114.498.3+16.1#23 Saint Louis BillikensAtlantic 10 Conference
66.7120.897.6+23.2#24 McNeese CowboysSouthland Conference
66.7117.498.3+19.1#25 Akron ZipsMid-American Conference
65.8122.7103.3+19.4MMH MATCHUPS
Games
MATCHUPWIN PROBABILITYPROJECTED SCORETOTALMODEL SPREAD
Mississippi Valley State at Grambling • FINAL3-30 • 14-19Final Score: Mississippi Valley State 52-77 Grambling
Grambling 95.9%Mississippi Valley State 4.1%
61-83144.4Grambling -22.2Nicholls at UT Rio Grande Valley • FINAL14-19 • 19-14Final Score: Nicholls 68-86 UT Rio Grande Valley
UT Rio Grande Valley 86.6%Nicholls 13.4%
67-80147.4UT Rio Grande Valley -12.9Oregon State at Gonzaga • FINAL17-16 • 31-4Final Score: Oregon State 56-65 Gonzaga
Gonzaga 97.4%Oregon State 2.6%
62-87149.3Gonzaga -25.1Detroit Mercy at Robert Morris • FINAL17-15 • 22-11Final Score: Detroit Mercy 70-64 Robert Morris
Robert Morris 80.2%Detroit Mercy 19.8%
72-82154.4Robert Morris -9.8Weber State at Eastern Washington • FINAL16-16 • 14-19Final Score: Weber State 79-84 Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington 67.8%Weber State 32.2%
79-83161.8Eastern Washington -3.9Santa Clara at Saint Mary's • FINAL26-9 • 27-6Final Score: Santa Clara 76-71 Saint Mary's
Saint Mary's 76.0%Santa Clara 24.0%
71-79150.5Saint Mary's -7.7NJIT at Vermont • FINAL16-17 • 22-12Final Score: NJIT 54-63 Vermont
Vermont 89.4%NJIT 10.6%
63-78141.0Vermont -14.3UMass Lowell at UMBC • FINAL15-18 • 24-8Final Score: UMass Lowell 69-91 UMBC
UMBC 90.1%UMass Lowell 9.9%
65-80145.7UMBC -14.9Wake Forest at Virginia Tech • FINAL18-17 • 19-13Final Score: Wake Forest 95-89 Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech 62.7%Wake Forest 37.3%
77-81157.9Virginia Tech -4.8Syracuse at SMU • FINAL15-16 • 20-14Final Score: Syracuse 69-86 SMU
SMU 84.0%Syracuse 16.0%
74-85158.7SMU -10.9Pittsburgh at Stanford • FINAL13-20 • 20-13Final Score: Pittsburgh 64-63 Stanford
Stanford 81.4%Pittsburgh 18.6%
68-78146.5Stanford -9.7Baylor at Arizona State • FINAL16-17 • 17-16Final Score: Baylor 79-83 Arizona State
Baylor 59.2%Arizona State 40.8%
81-79159.7Baylor -1.9Alcorn State at Prairie View A&M • FINAL9-23 • 19-18Final Score: Alcorn State 56-65 Prairie View A&M
Prairie View A&M 87.0%Alcorn State 13.0%
69-84153.1Prairie View A&M -14.4Utah at Cincinnati • FINAL10-22 • 18-15Final Score: Utah 66-73 Cincinnati
Cincinnati 92.2%Utah 7.8%
66-82148.4Cincinnati -16.5Maryland at Oregon • FINAL12-20 • 12-19Final Score: Maryland 70-60 Oregon
Oregon 74.0%Maryland 26.0%
69-77146.0Oregon -7.6Missouri State at Florida International • FINAL16-18 • 15-17Final Score: Missouri State 75-72 Florida International
Florida International 60.6%Missouri State 39.4%
76-80156.6Florida International -4.2Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at Stephen F. Austin • FINAL18-15 • 28-6Final Score: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 58-60 Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin 85.6%Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 14.4%
65-77141.6Stephen F. Austin -11.8Mercyhurst at Long Island University • FINAL17-17 • 24-11Final Score: Mercyhurst 70-79 Long Island University
Long Island University 73.7%Mercyhurst 26.3%
67-74140.9Long Island University -6.7Detroit Mercy at Wright State • FINAL17-15 • 23-12Final Score: Detroit Mercy 63-66 Wright State
Wright State 81.6%Detroit Mercy 18.4%
73-84157.4Wright State -10.6Kansas State at BYU • FINAL12-20 • 23-12Final Score: Kansas State 91-105 BYU
BYU 91.5%Kansas State 8.5%
74-90164.7BYU -16.0Penn State at Northwestern • FINAL12-20 • 15-19Final Score: Penn State 66-76 Northwestern
Northwestern 87.7%Penn State 12.3%
69-82150.9Northwestern -13.0Towson at Hofstra • FINAL19-15 • 24-11Final Score: Towson 65-68 Hofstra
Hofstra 75.0%Towson 25.0%
65-73138.1Hofstra -8.1Monmouth at Hofstra • FINAL19-15 • 24-11Final Score: Monmouth 69-75 Hofstra
Hofstra 78.6%Monmouth 21.4%
67-76143.2Hofstra -9.5THE RECEIPTS
View every call →MMH Keeps Score of Itself
1–0Model Record
Full MMH tracking begins with the 2026–27 season.
HOW TO READ IT
One projection. One permanent result.
MMH publishes its win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff. The pregame prediction is then frozen so the result can be measured without hindsight.
ACCOUNTABILITY
Every prediction leaves a receipt.
MMH permanently records its pregame win probability, projected score and model spread before tipoff, then grades the prediction against the final result.